Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40880525›Full record

Observational studyPLoS medicine2025

Efficacy of biomarkers in the endochondral phase of fracture repair and healing in long bones: A clinical observational studys.

Zachary M Working, Molly E Czachor, Anna Laura Nelson, Kelsey M O'Hara, Karalynn Lancaster, Justin E Hellwinkel, Kaitlyn Whitney, Lucas S Marchand, Sofia Bzovskys, Graham J DeKeyser and 10 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in PLoS medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02786498 (A Blinded Exploratory Randomized Controlled Trial), which is not on this map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02786498 phase2completednot on this map

A Blinded Exploratory Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT) to Determine Optimal Vitamin D3 Supplementation Strategies for Acute Fracture Healing

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of Maryland, BaltimoreRan2016 to 2021Enrolled102ConditionsFractureArmsVitamin D3, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. What's New in Musculoskeletal Basic Science.The Journal of bone and joint surgery. American volume · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Zachary M WorkingOregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1768-1001
Molly E CzachorSteadman Philippon Research Institute, Vail, Colorado United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-3303-9649
Anna Laura NelsonSteadman Philippon Research Institute, Vail, Colorado United States of America.
Kelsey M O'HaraSteadman Philippon Research Institute, Vail, Colorado United States of America.
Karalynn LancasterOregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon United States of America.
Justin E HellwinkelSteadman Philippon Research Institute, Vail, Colorado United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3421-5363
Kaitlyn WhitneySteadman Philippon Research Institute, Vail, Colorado United States of America.
Lucas S MarchandUniversity of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, United States of America.
Sofia BzovskysMcMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Graham J DeKeyserOregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9670-8211
Darin M FriessOregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0534-879X
Theodore MiclauUniversity of California, San Francisco (UCSF) Orthopaedic Trauma Institute, San Francisco, California United States of America.
William A HortonShriners Hospital for ChildrenPortland, Oregon United States of America.
Sheila A SpragueMcMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1466-8063
Nathan N O'HaraUniversity of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0537-3474
Brian JohnstoneOregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon United States of America.
Lauren A PierpointUniversity of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, United States of America.
Gerard P SlobogeanUniversity of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9111-9239
Chelsea S BahneySteadman Philippon Research Institute, Vail, Colorado United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9808-8888
Vita-Shock Investigators

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundClinical determination of bone fracture healing remains qualitative, typically determined through the combination of plain film radiographs, clinical assessment, and patient-reported pain. Importantly, standard radiographs can only detect bone formation in the fracture site after sufficient tissue mineralization has occurred, restricting utility to the later stages of bone repair. A more rigorous method for determining fracture healing progression could significantly improve patient care. Quantitative biomarkers have gained diagnostic value in many clinical indications. Multiple bone turnover biomarkers have been successfully utilized for diagnosis and clinical management of osteoporosis. However, there remains limited evidence for the correlation and diagnostic efficacy of these biomarkers when applied to fracture repair. METHODS AND

findingsHere we present data from a large cohort of participants without (n = 111) or with (n = 153) fracture with the primary outcome of interest our blood-based biomarker which detects the degradation product of the trimeric collagen X protein (CXM). Collagen X is a transient extracellular matrix protein synthesized by hypertrophic chondrocytes during the soft callus phase of endochondral fracture repair. Our data show that healthy patients with an age range of 21-85 years without fracture (enrolled 2018-2020) have low circulating levels of CXM (median = 563.4 pg/mL; interquartile range (IQR) [483.2, 771.1]) that do not vary independently with age (r = 0.04, p = 0.26) or sex (p = 0.42). Fracture data includes patients with an acute closed or low grade open (Gustilo type I or II) tibial or femoral shaft fracture from a secondary analysis of the VitaShock study (NCT02786498, n = 102: enrolled through the University of Maryland 2016-2019), complemented by a new prospectively enrolled observational study that recruited from the Oregon Health & Science University level 1 academic trauma center (n = 51: enrolled 2019-2023) that were followed until the patient was deemed clinically healed or until they failed to return for follow-up. We show that in serum CXM positively correlates to the bone biomarkers N-terminal propeptide of type I procollagen (P1NP, r = 0.50, p < 0.0001), C-terminal telopeptide of type I collagen (CTX, r = 0.40, p < 0.0001), and osteocalcin (r = 0.26, p = 0.0411); with a negative correlation to the obesity biomarker leptin (r = -0.31, p = 0.0138). Further, patients with early healing exhibited a peak in CXM at 6 weeks of 1,092 pg/mL (95% confidence interval (CI) [804.8, 1,379]), which was significantly higher than patients with normal healing of 630.8 pg/mL (95% CI [399.9, 861.8]; p = 0.016). We then show that we can reliably transfer this assay from serum collection through venipuncture to a dried blood spot (DBS) collected by finger prick (r = 0.75, Serum = 0.4217*DBS + 181.9, p < 0.0001). Using DBS, the prospective clinical observational study finally suggests that median time-to-peak CXM is at 25.5 days following the elimination of outliers (n = 6) using Robust Regression and Outlier Removal (ROUT, Q = 1%). This study did not find significant differences in CXM expression according to age, sex, or bone that are likely due to the main limitation of an observational study.

conclusionThis rigorous data set supports the future prospective use of the CXM biomarker collected by finger prick in interventional fracture studies and/or in observational studies requiring quantitative assessments of long-bone healing.

Indexed as

Fracture HealingFractures, BoneAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedYoung AdultBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID40880525
PMCPMC12410876

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.