Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40879280›Full record

SynthesisCancer medicine2025

Patient, Physician, and Assessor Blinding in Phase III Randomized Trials in Oncology: A Meta-Epidemiological Analysis.

Gabrielle Brown, Pavlos Msaouel, Avital M Miller, Ramez Kouzy, Timothy A Lin, Joseph Abi Jaoude, Ethan B Ludmir, Alexander D Sherry

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Cancer medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Gabrielle BrownDivision of Radiation Oncology, Department of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Pavlos MsaouelDivision of Cancer Medicine, Department of Genitourinary Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Avital M MillerDivision of Radiation Oncology, Department of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4072-1442
Ramez KouzyDivision of Radiation Oncology, Department of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Timothy A LinDivision of Radiation Oncology, Department of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Joseph Abi JaoudeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2283-4765
Ethan B LudmirDivision of Radiation Oncology, Department of Gastrointestinal Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5472-5344
Alexander D SherryDivision of Radiation Oncology, Department of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5115-1691

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI DIANE BODURKA · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
Andrew Sabin Family FoundationNCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS P30CA016672
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBlinding mitigates bias in randomized trials and may be especially crucial for surrogate endpoints, such as progression-free survival (PFS). Here, we characterize utilization of and factors associated with blinding in Phase III oncology trials with PFS primary endpoints.

methodsTwo-arm, superiority-design trials investigating systemic therapy were identified in May 2024 from ClinicalTrials.gov with no date limitation. Trials were required to have a PFS primary endpoint. The study outcomes were the presence of double-blind designs and blinded independent central review (BICR) for the primary endpoint. Ninety-five percent credible intervals for binary outcomes were estimated from beta distributions, and multivariable logistic regressions explored associations with trial-level features.

resultsAfter screening, 237 trials were included, enrolling 127,518 patients. A double-blind design was used in 105 trials (44%, 95% CrI 38%-51%). BICR was used in 111 trials (47%, 95% CrI 41%-53%), including 39 double-blind trials (16%, 95% CrI 12%-22%). Trials with BICR had higher odds of meeting the primary endpoint (OR 1.84; 95% CI 1.06-3.18; p = 0.03). The PFS assessor identity (central vs. local) or blinding status was not reported in 50 trials (26%, 95% CrI 16%-27%). Trials that met prespecified significance criteria for PFS were more likely to report whether PFS assessors were blinded/unblinded and central/local (OR, 3.05; 95% Cl: 1.60-5.81; p = 0.0007).

conclusionsDespite the importance of double blinding in combination with BICR for reducing bias, only a few trials blinded physicians, patients, and primary endpoint assessors. This meta-epidemiological study illuminates the prevalence of potential assessment biases affecting PFS in Phase III oncology and secondarily emphasizes the need for improved methodology reporting.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials, Phase III as TopicMedical OncologyNeoplasmsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicDouble-Blind MethodHumansPhysiciansProgression-Free SurvivalResearch Designbiasblinded independent central reviewdouble‐blindoncologyPhase IIIrandomized trials

Identifiers

PMID40879280
PMCPMC12313818

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.