Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40877971›Full record

ArticleZoonoses and public health2025

Canine Spotted Fever Group Rickettsial Seroprevalence as an Indicator for Human Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever Case Rates in Arizona, USA.

Alec Oliva, Rachael Kreisler, Andrea Romkema, Soren Madsen, Haley Furman, Christopher Maag, Charles Schaefer, Jose A Hernandez, Jung Keun Lee, Michael Quinlan and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Zoonoses and public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Alec OlivaArizona College of Osteopathic Medicine, Midwestern University, Glendale, Arizona, USA.
Rachael KreislerDepartment of Primary Care, Shelter and Community Medicine, Midwestern University College of Veterinary Medicine, Glendale, Arizona, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5562-5521
Andrea RomkemaCollege of Graduate Studies, Midwestern University, Glendale, Arizona, USA.
Soren MadsenArizona College of Osteopathic Medicine, Midwestern University, Glendale, Arizona, USA.
Haley FurmanCollege of Medicine, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
Christopher MaagCollege of Veterinary Medicine, Glendale, Arizona, USA.
Charles SchaeferDepartment of Physiology, College of Graduate Studies, Midwestern University, Glendale, Arizona, USA.
Jose A HernandezArizona College of Osteopathic Medicine, Midwestern University, Glendale, Arizona, USA.
Jung Keun LeeDepartment of Veterinary Pathology, Midwestern University College of Veterinary Medicine, Glendale, Arizona, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3165-3675
Michael QuinlanDepartment of Physiology, College of Graduate Studies, Midwestern University, Glendale, Arizona, USA.
John VandenBrooksSchool of Applied Arts and Sciences, College of Integrative Arts and Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, USA.

Funding

Arizona Biomedical Research Commission CTR056042
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionRocky Mountain spotted fever (RMSF), a rapidly progressing febrile disease caused by the bacterium Rickettsia rickettsii, is the deadliest tick-borne disease in the world. Human infection initially results in non-specific symptoms and, if untreated, can result in death in up to 35% of cases. Rhipicephalus sanguineus (brown dog tick) was discovered to spread RMSF in Arizona and Northern Mexico in the early 2000s, and the disease is now considered endemic in areas of the Southwestern United States. This study investigates the relationship between canine spotted fever group rickettsial (SFGR) seroprevalence and human RMSF case rates in Arizona.

methodsCanine serum samples were opportunistically collected from 12 counties in Arizona between February 2018 and November 2022. Immunofluorescence assays were employed to determine the anti-SFGR antibody titers in each of the samples, with dilutions ≥ 1:64 considered positive. An exponential nonlinear regression was used to determine the association between canine SFGR seroprevalence and human RMSF case rates per 100,000 as reported by the Arizona Department of Health Services.

resultsOf the 423 dogs sampled, 21% (89/423) were found to be positive for anti-SFGR antibodies. Eight of the 12 counties had seropositive dogs. Geometric mean titers ranged from 64 to 464, with a median of 179. A nonlinear regression model demonstrated a strong association between canine SFGR seropositivity and human RMSF case rates, with the best-fitting model employing RMSF case rates lagged by 1 year. A similar model also showed a significant association between canine SFGR geometric mean titers and RMSF case rates.

conclusionCanine SFGR seroprevalence correlates with human RMSF case rates, with RMSF risk rising exponentially as canine SFGR seroprevalence increases. This lends support to the potential use of canine SFGR serology as an epidemiological tool for forecasting RMSF.

Indexed as

Dog DiseasesRickettsia rickettsiiRocky Mountain Spotted FeverAnimalsAntibodies, BacterialArizonaDogsFemaleHumansMaleSeroepidemiologic StudiesAntibodies, BacterialArizonaepidemiologyRickettsia rickettsiirickettsiosesRMSFseroprevalencesurveillance

Identifiers

PMID40877971
PMCPMC12589159

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.