Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40877039›Full record

ArticleRisk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis2025

Public Attitudes to Responding to Global Catastrophic Risks: A New Zealand Case Study.

John Kerr, Matt Boyd, Nick Wilson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Public Attitudes to Responding to Global Catastrophic Risks: A New Zealand Case Study.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

John KerrUniversity of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-6606-5507
Matt BoydAdapt Research Ltd., Reefton, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-1387-5047
Nick WilsonUniversity of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-5118-0676

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Human civilization faces a range of global catastrophic risks (GCRs), including nuclear war, bioengineered pandemics, major solar storms, and uncontrolled artificial intelligence. In New Zealand, limited information exists on public views about whether the government should respond to such risks. A representative survey of 1012 adults in July 2024 included two questions on GCRs. Sixty-six percent (95%CI: 63%-70%) supported the government developing specific plans to address extreme risks, and 60% (95%CI: 56%-63%) supported establishing a dedicated commission or agency. In multivariable models, support increased with age, education, income, and trust in scientists (the latter also associated with support for an agency). There were no significant differences by gender, ethnicity, or political orientation. These findings suggest a clear majority of the public supports government planning for catastrophic risks. Further research, including repeat surveys and deliberative methods such as citizens' assemblies, could help explore underlying reasons for opposition and how the public weigh policy trade-offs.

Indexed as

AttitudeDisaster PlanningPublic OpinionAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNew ZealandRisk AssessmentSurveys and QuestionnairesYoung Adultglobal catastrophic risksgovernmentpolicypublic opinionpublic supportrisk mitigation

Identifiers

PMID40877039
PMCPMC12663897

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.