Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40868692›Full record

ArticleHealthcare (Basel, Switzerland)2025

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Burn Injury by Total Body Surface Area (TBSA) Involvement from 1990 to 2021, with Projections of Prevalence to 2050.

Nara Lee, Youngoh Bae, Suho Jang, Dong Won Lee, Seung Won Lee

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Artificial Intelligence in Burn and Wound Care: Image Analysis, Prediction, and Clinical Integration.Journal of burn care & research : official publication of the American Burn Association · 2026
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  17. Therapeutic Potential of Modulating Gene-MicroRNA Crosstalk in Burn Injury.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Nara LeeDepartment of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Republic of Korea.
Youngoh BaeDepartment of Precision Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-1226-1414
Suho JangDepartment of Medical AI, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea.
Dong Won LeeDepartment of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-0046-3139
Seung Won LeeDepartment of Precision Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-5632-5208

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesBurn injuries are a major public health concern. This study estimated global, regional, and national burn burdens by total body surface area from 1990 to 2021 and projected trends to 2050.

methodsUtilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we examined the prevalence, mortality, and years lived with disability (YLDs) according to age, sex, and region. Future trends were predicted using Bayesian meta-regression models and Das Gupta decomposition analysis.

resultsIn 2021, global prevalence was 12.99 million for severe burns and 235.34 million for mild burns, with age-standardized rates of 158.75 and 2815.26 per 100,000. Severe burns were highest in Southern Latin America (7836.51 per 100,000) and mild burns in the Caribbean (626.94 per 100,000). The largest declines from 1990 to 2021 were in high-income North America for severe burns (-38.22%) and East Asia for mild burns (-73.03%). Females had higher severe burn prevalence at younger and older ages, while males had higher mild burn prevalence from early adulthood. Leading risk factors were fire, heat, and hot substances (38.22% of severe burn YLDs; 53.87% for mild burns). By 2050, severe burns are projected to rise by 233.4% and mild burns by 142.5%, with Eastern Europe showing the largest growth.

conclusionsAlthough age-standardized burn rates are declining, absolute cases are projected to rise due to population growth and aging, particularly in low- and middle-income countries, underscoring the need for stronger prevention and improved burn care infrastructure.

Indexed as

burn injuryglobal burden of diseaseglobal healthhealth status disparitiesprevalencesocioeconomic factorstotal body surface area

Identifiers

PMID40868692
PMCPMC12385682

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.