Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40867115›Full record

ArticleBrain sciences2025

Predicting Cognitive Decline in Parkinson's Disease Using Artificial Neural Networks: An Explainable AI Approach.

Laura Colautti, Monica Casella, Matteo Robba, Davide Marocco, Michela Ponticorvo, Paola Iannello, Alessandro Antonietti, Camillo Marra, For The Cpp Integrated Parkinson's Database

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Brain sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Creative thinking in Parkinson's disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Laura ColauttiDepartment of Psychology, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 20123 Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-7803-3721
Monica CasellaNatural and Artificial Cognition Lab "Orazio Miglino", Department of Humanistic Studies, University of Naples "Federico II", 80138 Naples, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-6017-602X
Matteo RobbaDepartment of Psychology, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 20123 Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-1755-1864
Davide MaroccoNatural and Artificial Cognition Lab "Orazio Miglino", Department of Humanistic Studies, University of Naples "Federico II", 80138 Naples, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5185-1313
Michela PonticorvoNatural and Artificial Cognition Lab "Orazio Miglino", Department of Humanistic Studies, University of Naples "Federico II", 80138 Naples, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-2451-9539
Paola IannelloDepartment of Psychology, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 20123 Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-2736-2541
Alessandro AntoniettiDepartment of Psychology, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 20123 Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-7212-8076
Camillo MarraDepartment of Psychology, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 20123 Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3994-4044
For The Cpp Integrated Parkinson's Database

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesThe study aims to identify key cognitive and non-cognitive variables (e.g., clinical, neuroimaging, and genetic data) predicting cognitive decline in Parkinson's disease (PD) patients using machine learning applied to a sample (

methodsAn artificial neural network was trained on baseline data to predict general cognitive status three years later. Model performance was evaluated using 5-fold stratified cross-validation. We investigated model interpretability using explainable artificial intelligence techniques, including Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) values, Group-Wise Feature Masking, and Brute-Force Combinatorial Masking, to identify the most influential predictors of cognitive decline.

resultsThe model achieved a recall of 0.91 for identifying patients who developed cognitive decline, with an overall classification accuracy of 0.79. All applied explainability techniques consistently highlighted baseline MoCA scores, memory performance, the motor examination score (MDS-UPDRS Part III), and anxiety as the most predictive features.

conclusionsFrom a clinical perspective, the findings can support the early detection of PD patients who are more prone to developing cognitive decline, thereby helping to prevent cognitive impairments by designing specific treatments. This can improve the quality of life for patients and caregivers, supporting patient autonomy.

Indexed as

artificial neural networkcognitive declineexplainable AImachine learningParkinson’s diseaseprevention

Identifiers

PMID40867115
PMCPMC12384829

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.