Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40866994›Full record

ArticleDiabetology & metabolic syndrome2025

Artificial intelligence algorithm for predicting cardio-cerebrovascular risk in type 2 diabetes: concordance with clinical and instrumental assessments.

Francesco Piarulli, Eugenio Ragazzi, Chiara Celeste Celsan, Annunziata Lapolla, Giovanni Sartore

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetology & metabolic syndrome, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Francesco PiarulliDepartment of Medicine-DIMED, University of Padova, Padova, Italy.
Eugenio RagazziStudium Patavinum, University of Padova, Padova, Italy. eugenio.ragazzi@unipd.it.
Chiara Celeste CelsanDepartment of Medicine-DIMED, University of Padova, Padova, Italy.
Annunziata LapollaDepartment of Medicine-DIMED, University of Padova, Padova, Italy.
Giovanni SartoreDepartment of Medicine-DIMED, University of Padova, Padova, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of an artificial intelligence (AI)-based algorithm in estimating the risk of cardio-cerebrovascular complications in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D).

methodsMedical records of 532 T2D patients from the Diabetology Unit in Padova, Italy, were analyzed using the Metaclinic AI Prediction Module, which estimates the probability of heart and cerebrovascular organ damage. For patients identified as "Very high" (n = 63) or "Low" (n = 122) risk for heart disease, additional clinical and instrumental data on their cardiac history were collected. The level of agreement between AI predictions and traditional clinical-instrumental diagnostics was assessed using Cohen's κ coefficient.

resultsIn the "Very high" risk group, the agreement between AI predictions and clinical diagnostics for heart disease was poor (κ = 0.00), while prediction for cerebrovascular disease showed excellent agreement (κ = 0.89). Similarly, in the "Low" risk group, agreement for heart disease remained poor (κ = 0.00), but agreement for cerebrovascular disease was again high (κ = 0.83).

conclusionsA marked difference was observed in the algorithm's performance. While the AI showed strong predictive ability for cerebrovascular complications, it failed to reliably predict heart disease risk. These results suggest that the algorithm may be clinically valuable for cerebrovascular risk assessment but needs refinement for cardiac prediction.

Indexed as

Artificial intelligenceCerebrovascular diseaseCohen’s kappaHeart diseaseRisk evaluationType 2 diabetes mellitus

Identifiers

PMID40866994
PMCPMC12382123

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.