Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40866582›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2025

Global distribution of research efforts, disease burden, and impact of US public funding withdrawal.

Leo Schmallenbach, Maximilian Bley, Till W Bärnighausen, Cassidy R Sugimoto, Carolin Lerchenmüller, Marc J Lerchenmueller

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. ​Consideration of sex/gender aspects in cardiovascular clinical trials.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2025
    Pooled it
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  9. The success-failure inversion in modern medicine.Frontiers in public health · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Leo SchmallenbachUniversity of Mannheim, Mannheim, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5302-2578
Maximilian BleyChair for Gender Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3019-8727
Till W BärnighausenHeidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH), Medical School, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4182-4212
Cassidy R SugimotoSchool of Public Policy, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8608-3203
Carolin LerchenmüllerChair for Gender Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5620-0285
Marc J LerchenmuellerUniversity of Mannheim, Mannheim, Germany. marc.lerchenmueller@uni-mannheim.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8875-3602

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Evaluating whether research aligns with the global burden of disease is essential for equitable and effective scientific progress and improvement of human health. Without systematic evaluation of this alignment, science cannot respond to shifting health needs. Here we analyzed the distribution between research and disease, linking 8.6 million disease-specific publications to two decades of global disease burden data using a triangulated large language model approach. We find that since 1999, research and disease burden have seemingly become much more aligned; however, this is mainly because of regional declines in communicable disease burden, whereas the noncommunicable disease burden has increased and globalized. Meanwhile, research effort has not changed to match changes in disease burden. Our simulations suggest that without intentional alignment, the research-disease divergence will probably widen by a third over the next two decades, and be substantially accelerated by the reduction of US public funding for international research. Aligning research with health needs will require strategic investments, improved global coordination, open science policies and stronger, more equitable international partnerships to build resilience in a fragile research ecosystem.

Indexed as

Biomedical ResearchFinancing, GovernmentGlobal Burden of DiseaseResearch Support as TopicCost of IllnessGlobal HealthHumansUnited States

Identifiers

PMID40866582
PMCPMC12443587

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.