Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40861215›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in medicine2025

Predictive model for coronavirus disease 2019 severity based on blood biomarkers: a retrospective study.

Liu Xiaoyan, Bao Zhongying, Duan Shuhong, Sun Jing, Zhang Yijie, Zhang Jie, Liu Jingxin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Liu XiaoyanDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Bao ZhongyingDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Duan ShuhongDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Sun JingDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Zhang YijieDepartment of Emergency, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Zhang JieDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Liu JingxinPhysical Education and Sports School, Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: To develop and validate a clinical prediction model for assessing the severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) using blood biomarkers, aiming to support clinical decision-making and treatment guidance. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted at Beijing Shijitan Hospital on January 5, 2023, including SARS-CoV-2 positive patients with initial chest CT-detected from outpatient and emergency departments. Data on demographics, symptoms, and blood biomarkers were collected. Patients were categorized into non-severe (mild and moderate) and severe (severe and critical) groups based on clinical symptoms and disease progression. Outpatient data served as the training set for modeling and validation using logistic regression and 10-fold cross validation. Emergency department data functioned as an independent external validation set to test the model's generalizability. Results: The study included 1,007 patients, with 778 in the training set and 229 in the validation set. The C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil count (NE), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were significantly higher in the severe COVID-19 group, while lymphocyte count (LY) and eosinophil count (EO) were significantly lower in the non-severe group ( Conclusion: The predictive model, informed by blood biomarkers, successfully discriminates against COVID-19 patients at higher risk for severe outcomes, offering a valuable tool for clinical management and resource optimization.

Indexed as

blood biomarkersCOVID-19predictive modelretrospective cohort analysisseverity

Identifiers

PMID40861215
PMCPMC12370689

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.