ArticleJournal of substance use2025
Estimating the transition from alcohol drinking onset to alcohol dependence within the first year of use in the United States, 2002-2019.
Article in Journal of substance use, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Background and Objectives: Alcohol continues to be one of the most consumed substances worldwide, with unhealthy use on the rise. This study investigates the transition from the first full drink to the onset of alcohol dependence within 12 months among individuals with newly incident alcohol use in the United States. Methods: Data come from the US National Surveys on Drug Use and Health (2002-2019), encompassing 67,135 participants, with assessments via confidential computer-assisted self-interviews. Newly incident drinkers had their first full drink no more than 12 months before evaluation. Alcohol dependence (AD) was based on criteria from the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition (DSM-IV). Results: We found that an estimated 1.7% of individuals transition into alcohol dependence within the first year of alcohol use (95% CI = 1.5-1.9). The study includes a diverse age group and emphasizes a shorter transition time between initiation and dependence compared to previous studies. Scientific Significance: Results reflect the possibility of a rapid transition to dependence within the first year of alcohol use and help identify a high-risk group that could benefit from more specialized public health prevention and intervention strategies.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.