Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40855537›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

COVID-19 and regional inequalities in childhood vaccination uptake in England: a spline regression.

Amber Sacre, Sarah Sowden, Clare Bambra, Natalie Bennett, Adam Todd

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Inequalities in adolescent HPV, Td/IPV and MenACWY vaccination coverage by socio-economic status: an ecological study, England, 2017 to 2024.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Amber SacrePopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle, NE1 7RU, UK. amber.sacre@newcastle.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0005-1459-1782
Sarah SowdenPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle, NE1 7RU, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9359-3463
Clare BambraPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle, NE1 7RU, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1294-6851
Natalie BennettDepartment of Sociology, University of Manchester, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4742-7656
Adam ToddSchool of Pharmacy, Newcastle University, Newcastle, NE1 7RU, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1496-9341

Funding

National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Applied Research Collaboration (ARC) North East and North Cumbria (NENC) NIHR200173
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn recent years, the uptake of childhood vaccinations before the age of five has declined globally. In England, the decline in measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccination coverage is concerning and has subsequently been followed by an increase in measles outbreaks. This study analysed the sustained and additional impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on area-level inequalities in childhood vaccination uptake across regions in England.

methodsSpline regressions with three-way interaction terms were used to assess the impact of COVID-19, from the first lockdown, on local authorities across regions and deprivation quartiles. Cover of Vaccination Evaluated Rapidly data was used for the uptake statistics, and the Indices of Multiple Deprivation 2019 for the deprivation quartiles. The lowest coverage vaccines were analysed: the pre-school booster (one dose) and MMR (two doses, cumulative) from July - September 2014 to October - December 2022.

resultsThe findings suggest the odds of childhood vaccination uptake were declining in England prior to the first lockdown, but there was an additional decrease associated with this event by 12% (OR:0.88, CI:0.79-0.99, p < .05) for the pre-school booster and 13% (OR:0.87, CI:0.77-0.99, p < .05) for the MMR vaccine. For local authorities classified as the most deprived 25% (Quartile 1), there was a 15% (OR: 0.85, CI: (0.72-0.99, p < .05) post-lockdown-associated decline in the odds of MMR uptake, but not the pre-school booster. Post-lockdown and region interaction effects for the pre-school booster were as follows: Yorkshire and the Humber, 39% decreased odds (OR:0.61, CI:0.54-0.68, p < .001); East Midlands, 22% decreased odds (OR:0.77 OR, CI:0.62-0.95, p < .05); and West Midlands, 19% increased odds (OR:1.19, CI:1.00-1.40, p < .05). For the MMR vaccine, these were: Yorkshire and the Humber, 41% decreased odds (OR:0.59, CI:0.52-0.67, p < .001); North West, 30% increased odds (OR:1.3, CI:1.04-1.64, p < .05); West Midlands, 21% increased odds (OR:1.21, CI:1-1.46, p < .05); and South East, 19% decreased odds (OR:0.67, CI:0.98, p < .05). Evidence of three-way post-lockdown interaction effects for deprivation quartile and region was also identified for both vaccines.

conclusionsThe results highlight the need for national vaccination uptake analyses to consider regional variation, as similarly deprived local authorities do not necessarily exhibit the same COVID-19-associated effects.

Indexed as

COVID-19Healthcare DisparitiesMeasles-Mumps-Rubella VaccineVaccinationVaccination CoverageChildChild, PreschoolEnglandHumansInfantMeasles-Mumps-Rubella VaccineChildhood vaccinationCOVID-19Health inequalitiesSocioeconomic inequalitiesSpline regressionVaccine uptake

Identifiers

PMID40855537
PMCPMC12376395

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.