Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40855076›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Research on the impact of climate change on food security in Africa.

Jinglei Liu, Jiajie Wu, Dong Jiang, Shuai Chen, Mengmeng Hao, Fangyu Ding, Genan Wu, Hanwei Liang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Jinglei LiuInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China.
Jiajie WuInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China.
Dong JiangInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China.
Shuai ChenInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China.
Mengmeng HaoInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China. haomm@igsnrr.ac.cn.
Fangyu DingInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China.
Genan WuInstitute of Spacecraft Application System Engineering, China Academy of Space Technology, Beijing, 100094, China.
Hanwei LiangSchool of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (NUIST), Nanjing, 210044, China.

Funding

Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences 2023000117
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Global warming and the rising frequency of extreme climate events pose significant threats to food security. We examine the influence of climate change on food security in Sub-Saharan Africa, with a specific emphasis on four key crops: maize, rice, wheat, and soybeans. We employ a random forest model to estimate spatial and temporal yield trends based on climate variables, land‑use patterns, and irrigation ratios. We also studied the differential impacts of climate change on various crop types, taking into account their physiological characteristics and responses to changing environmental conditions. This prediction is performed under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2‑4.5, SSP3‑7.0, SSP5‑8.5)-using five global climate models (GCMs): BCC-CSM2-MR, CanESM5, IPSL-CM6A-LR, GFDL-ESM4 and MPI-ESM1-2-LR. The findings suggest the following: (1) Maize, a C4 crop, is projected to experience a severe decrease in future harvests, especially under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. The worst declines are forecasted in eastern South Africa and Zambia. (2) Both rice and wheat are C3 crops that experience a "CO

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCrops, AgriculturalFood SecurityFood SupplyAfricaAfrica South of the SaharaGlycine maxHumansOryzaTriticumZea maysClimate changeFood securityRandom forestSpatial and temporal evolutionSub-Saharan africa

Identifiers

PMID40855076
PMCPMC12378194

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.