Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40855051›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Modeling the European Neolithic expansion suggests predominant within-group mating and limited cultural transmission.

Troy M LaPolice, Matthew P Williams, Christian D Huber

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Late Neolithic 'decline' is a grave question.Nature ecology & evolution · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Troy M LaPolicePennsylvania State University, Department of Biology, University Park, PA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3537-6633
Matthew P WilliamsPennsylvania State University, Department of Biology, University Park, PA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7117-193X
Christian D HuberPennsylvania State University, Department of Biology, University Park, PA, USA. cdh5313@psu.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2267-2604

Funding

Computation, Bioinformatics, and Statistics (CBIOS) Training ProgramT32GM102057 · NIGMS · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI CHIAROMONTE, FRANCESCA, GIRIRAJAN, SANTHOSH · 2013 to 2022
$2.7M
The role of admixture in human evolutionR35GM146886 · NIGMS · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI Christian Huber · 2022 to 2026
$2.0M
NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM146886NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM102057U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute of General Medical Sciences (NIGMS) R35GM146886
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Neolithic Revolution initiated a pivotal change in human society, marking the shift from foraging to farming. Historically, the underlying mechanisms of agricultural expansion have been a topic of debate, centered around two primary models: cultural diffusion, involving the transfer of knowledge and practices, and demic diffusion, characterized by the migration and replacement of populations. More recently, ancient DNA analyses have revealed significant ancestry changes during Europe's Neolithic transition, suggesting a primarily demic expansion. Nonetheless, the presence of 10-15% hunter-gatherer ancestry in modern Europeans indicates cultural transmission and between-group mating were additional contributing factors. Here, we integrate mathematical models, agent-based simulations, and ancient DNA analysis to dissect and quantify the roles of cultural diffusion and between-group mating in farming's expansion. Our findings indicate limited cultural transmission and predominantly within-group mating. Additionally, we challenge the assumption that demic expansion always leads to ancestry turnover. These results offer insights into early agricultural society through the integration of ancient DNA with archaeological models.

Indexed as

AgricultureCultural EvolutionWhite PeopleArchaeologyCultureDNA, AncientEuropeHistory, AncientHuman MigrationHumansModels, TheoreticalDNA, Ancient

Identifiers

PMID40855051
PMCPMC12379212

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.