SynthesisProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025
Rising global temperatures reduce soil microbial diversity over the long term.
Synthesis in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Rising global temperatures reduce soil microbial diversity over the long term.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Pooled it
- Chemical heterogeneity and mixed pollution are associated with microbial functional potential across soils in a coal mining subsidence landscape.RSC advances · 2026Article
- Long-Term Warming Reduces Bacterial Diversity and Functional Potential in Temperate Forest Soil.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Tipping Points in Bacterial Richness Amplify Extracellular Enzyme Activities in Northern Peatlands.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Variation in Soil Bacterial and Fungal Diversity, Community Composition, and Co-Occurrence Patterns Across Nearshore Islands in the Northern South China Sea.Microorganisms · 2026Article
- Thermophilization: Concepts, Methods, and Implications of Changes in Community Composition due to Global Warming.Global change biology · 2026Review
- Plant defence priming and memory mechanisms under climate change.Essays in biochemistry · 2026Review
- Ecosystem state and soil depth determine the microbial community response to warming in coastal marsh soils.iScience · 2026Article
- Abiotic Stress Reshapes Rhizosphere Community Assembly and Tea Quality: Root Exudates, Plant-Soil Interactions and Microbial Management.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
- Fungal diversity, ecology and functions in soil ecosystems.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2026Review
- Article
- Fungicide and warming interact to reduce soil ecosystem functioning.The ISME journal · 2026Article
- Metagenomic sequencing reveals structural and functional differentiation of the rhizosphere bacterial communities associated with available potassium inFrontiers in microbiology · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Soil microbial diversity is crucial to sustaining ecosystem productivity and improving carbon sequestration. Global temperature continues to rise, but how climate warming affects microbial diversity and its capacity to sequester soil organic carbon (SOC) remains uncertain. Here, by conducting a global meta-analysis with 251 paired observations from 102 studies, we showed that, on average, warming reduced bacterial and fungal diversity (measured by richness and Shannon index) by 16.0 and 19.7%, respectively, and SOC by 18.1%. The negative responses of both soil bacterial and fungal diversity to warming became more pronounced with increasing warming magnitude, experimental duration, and decreasing soil nitrogen availability. Under the worst-case climate warming scenario (2010 to 2070, 3.4 increase in °C), soil bacterial diversity and fungal diversity are projected to reduce by 56% and 81%, respectively, over 60 y. Importantly, in addition to the direct impact of warming on SOC, warming-induced declines in microbial diversity also contributed to SOC losses. We highlight that prolonged warming could substantially reduce soil microbial diversity and decrease SOC sequestration, accelerating future warming and underscoring the urgent need for decisive actions to mitigate global climate change.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.