Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40851985›Full record

ReviewAnnals of medicine and surgery (2012)2025

Ischemic heart disease-related mortality trends in the United States (1999-2020) and prediction using machine learning.

Noman Khalid, Sabrina Clare Higgins, Muhammad Abdullah, Hasan Munshi, Mahnoor Hasnat, Rajkumar Doshi, Patrick Michael, Rahul Vasudev, Shamoon E Fayez, Julio A Panza

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Annals of medicine and surgery (2012), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Noman KhalidDepartment of Internal Medicine, St. Joseph's University Medical Center, Paterson, New Jersey, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2531-3543
Sabrina Clare HigginsDepartment of Internal Medicine, St. George's University School of Medicine, Grenada, West Indies.
Muhammad AbdullahDepartment of Public Health and Community Medicine, Shaikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al Nahyan Medical and Dental College, Pakistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9121-2217
Hasan MunshiDepartment of Internal Medicine, St. Joseph's University Medical Center, Paterson, New Jersey, USA.
Mahnoor HasnatDepartment of Public Health and Community Medicine, Shaikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al Nahyan Medical and Dental College, Pakistan.
Rajkumar DoshiDepartment of Cardiology, St. Joseph's University Medical Center, Paterson, New Jersey, USA.
Patrick MichaelDepartment of Internal Medicine, St. Joseph's University Medical Center, Paterson, New Jersey, USA.
Rahul VasudevDepartment of Cardiology, St. Joseph's University Medical Center, Paterson, New Jersey, USA.
Shamoon E FayezDepartment of Cardiology, St. Joseph's University Medical Center, Paterson, New Jersey, USA.
Julio A PanzaDepartment of Cardiology, Westchester Medical Center, New York, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Ischemic heart disease (IHD) remains the leading cause of mortality globally, contributing significantly to rising healthcare costs. This study aims to analyze trends in IHD-related mortality from 1999 to 2020 using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database. Methods: Mortality data from 1999 to 2020 were extracted from the CDC WONDER database, with IHD identified as the primary cause of death (International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision Codes: I20-I25). Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were calculated and analyzed. Trends were assessed using Joinpoint Regression Analysis to determine the annual percentage change (APC). Additionally, predictive modeling was performed using an autoregressive integrated moving average model implemented in Python and Generative Pre-trained Transformer 4. Results: The study observed a decline in AAMR over the 22-year period, totaling 9 105 056 deaths. The APC revealed a significant decline in mortality rates until 2011 [APC: -4.99, Conclusions: The observed slowing in the decline of IHD mortality rates and the potential for future increases underscore the need for sustained public health interventions and vigilant surveillance to mitigate the burden of IHD.

Indexed as

cardiovascular diseasesepidemiologyischemic heart diseasemortality trends, public health

Identifiers

PMID40851985
PMCPMC12369793

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.