Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40849551›Full record

ArticleJournal of assisted reproduction and genetics2025

Interpretable machine learning model for predicting MII oocyte retrieved following controlled ovarian stimulation: a retrospective cohort study of 24,976 IVF/ICSI cycles.

Lu Zhang, Li-Juan Fu, Yu-Ling Hu, Yu Hao, Rui-Ling Liu, Mei-Hua Bao, Zhao-Hui Zhong, Xing-Yu Lv, Yu-Bin Ding

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of assisted reproduction and genetics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Lu Zhang *Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Women and Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 401147, China.
Li-Juan Fu *Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Women and Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 401147, China.
Yu-Ling Hu *The Reproductive Center, Sichuan Jinxin Xinan Women & Children's Hospital, Chengdu, 610011, Sichuan, China.
Yu HaoDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Women and Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 401147, China.
Rui-Ling LiuDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Women and Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 401147, China.
Mei-Hua BaoDepartment of Pharmacology, Academician Workstation, Changsha Medical University, Changsha, 410219, China.
Zhao-Hui ZhongDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Women and Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 401147, China.
Xing-Yu LvThe Reproductive Center, Sichuan Jinxin Xinan Women & Children's Hospital, Chengdu, 610011, Sichuan, China. lxyy323@163.com.
Yu-Bin DingDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Women and Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 401147, China. dingyb@cqmu.edu.cn.

Funding

the Open Fund of Chongqing Maternal and Child Disease Control and Public Health Research Center No: CQFYSJ01001the Program of Inheritance and Innovation of Traditional Chinese Medicine in Chongqing Chongqing Traditional Chinese Medicine [2022] no.33
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeCan machine learning effectively predict the number of mature oocytes retrieved after controlled ovarian stimulation in patients undergoing in vitro fertilization or intracytoplasmic sperm injection?

designThis retrospective study included data from 24,976 infertility patients treated between 2018 and 2022 at a single reproductive center. After data preprocessing, feature selection was performed using correlation analysis, LASSO regression, and recursive elimination based on random forest. Eight machine learning models were developed to predict the number of mature oocytes retrieved. Model performance was evaluated using root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and R-squared (R

resultsSix predictors were identified: antral follicle count; follicle-stimulating hormone and estradiol at stimulation start; estradiol on the trigger day; number of large follicles on the trigger day; and age. The multilayer perceptron model achieved the highest accuracy, with RMSE of 3.675, MAE of 2.702, and R

conclusionsWe developed a machine learning model that accurately predicts mature oocyte yield. A web-based calculator was also created to enable individualized prediction and enhance clinical usability.

Indexed as

Fertilization in VitroMachine LearningOocyte RetrievalOocytesOvulation InductionSperm Injections, IntracytoplasmicAdultFemaleFollicle Stimulating HormoneHumansPregnancyPregnancy RateRetrospective StudiesFollicle Stimulating HormoneMachine learningOocyte retrievalOvarian stimulationReproductive techniques, Assisted

Identifiers

PMID40849551
PMCPMC12640402

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.