Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40848248›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2026

Increase of early-onset colorectal cancer: a cohort effect.

Laura Downham, Mathieu Laversanne, Sandra Perdomo, Adalberto M Filho, Freddie Bray, Paul Brennan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. How telomere attrition protects against cancer.Nature reviews. Genetics · 2026
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Colorectal cancer statistics, 2026.CA: a cancer journal for clinicians
    Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Laura DownhamEarly Detection, Prevention, and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0009-0001-1669-6298
Mathieu LaversanneCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-1568-7218
Sandra PerdomoGenomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0001-7740-8141
Adalberto M FilhoCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Freddie BrayCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-3248-7787
Paul BrennanGenomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-0518-8714

Funding

International Agency for Research on CancerWorld Health OrganizationWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Increasing incidence rates of early-onset colorectal cancer (ie, <50 years of age) have been reported across multiple countries. We investigated long-term cancer incidence data from 1995 or earlier from Australia, Canada, England, and the United States separately by sex. Estimated annual percentage change and age-period-cohort models were used to assess trends by country and sex. All countries showed increasing early-onset colorectal cancer incidence in successive birth cohorts since 1960, with individuals born in the 1990s facing at least 4-fold higher risks than individuals born in the 1960s. Cohort effects were observed across all countries, with sharper increases at younger ages. Over the most recent decade, the estimated annual percentage change ranged from 3.4% in Australia and the United States to 4.5% in England, with steep rises before age 40 years. The emergence of these trends from ages 20 to 29 years suggests that contributing factors may originate early in life and reflect exposures whose effect begin in youth and accumulate throughout the lifespan.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsAdultAge DistributionAge FactorsAge of OnsetAustraliaCanadaCohort EffectEnglandFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID40848248
PMCPMC13064494

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.