Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40846896›Full record

ArticleNPJ precision oncology2025

Personalized circulating tumor DNA dynamics inform survival and response to immune checkpoint blockade in recurrent/metastatic head and neck cancer.

Daniel A Ruiz-Torres, Ross D Merkin, Michael E Bryan, Julia Mendel, Vasileios Efthymiou, Thomas Roberts, Manisha J Patel, Jong C Park, Amber Chevalier, Clodagh Murray and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ precision oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  9. Immune biomarkers for head and neck cancer.Cancer immunology, immunotherapy : CII · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Daniel A Ruiz-Torres *Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Massachusetts Eye and Ear, Boston, MA, USA.
Ross D Merkin *Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Massachusetts Eye and Ear, Boston, MA, USA.
Michael E BryanDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Massachusetts Eye and Ear, Boston, MA, USA.
Julia MendelDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Massachusetts Eye and Ear, Boston, MA, USA.
Vasileios EfthymiouDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Massachusetts Eye and Ear, Boston, MA, USA.
Thomas RobertsDepartment of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Manisha J PatelDepartment of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Jong C ParkDepartment of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Amber ChevalierNeoGenomics, Inc., Fort Meyers, FL, USA.
Clodagh MurrayNeoGenomics, Inc., Fort Meyers, FL, USA.
Lisa GatesNeoGenomics, Inc., Fort Meyers, FL, USA.
Christodoulos PipinikasNeoGenomics, Inc., Fort Meyers, FL, USA.
Shannon L StottKrantz Family Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Adam S FischDepartment of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Lori J WirthDepartment of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Daniel L FadenDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Massachusetts Eye and Ear, Boston, MA, USA. dfaden@mgb.org.

Funding

Dissecting temporal and spatial dynamics of immunotherapy resistanceK23DE029811 · NIDCR · MASSACHUSETTS EYE AND EAR INFIRMARY · PI FADEN, DANIEL · 2021 to 2025
$869k
NIDCR NIH HHS K23 DE029811NIH HHS 5K23DE029811
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recurrent/metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (R/M HNSCC) is an aggressive disease with limited predictive biomarkers, often leading to ineffective treatments and unnecessary toxicity. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) provides a promising real-time, non-invasive tool for monitoring disease activity. In this study, we analyzed 137 plasma samples from 16 patients with R/M HNSCC receiving immune checkpoint blockade (ICB), using a tumor-informed, highly sensitive next-generation sequencing assay (RaDaR, NeoGenomics). Serial ctDNA monitoring was performed at baseline and throughout treatment, and its association with clinical outcomes, including disease control, three-year overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS), was evaluated through univariable and multivariable analyses. ctDNA negativity during treatment was significantly associated with improved disease control (OR 21.7, 95% CI 1.86-754.88, p = 0.0317), three-year OS (HR 0.04, 95% CI 0.00-0.47, p = 0.0103), and PFS (HR 0.03, 95% CI 0.00-0.37, p = 0.0057). Early increases in ctDNA levels correlated with disease progression. Our findings suggest that ctDNA negativity, regardless of PD-L1 expression, ICB regimen, or line of therapy, is a strong predictor of favorable outcomes in R/M HNSCC.

Identifiers

PMID40846896
PMCPMC12373877

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.