Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40845036›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Global burden of NAFLD 1990-2021 and projections to 2035: Results from the Global Burden of Disease study 2021.

Yuqin Mao, Jiqing Du, Baoguo Li, Jiong Wang, Shaoyan Xuan, Shu Yang, Zhihua Tang, Minxiu Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Yuqin MaoDepartment of Pharmacy, Shaoxing People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Shaoxing University, Shaoxing, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.
Jiqing DuSchool of Life and Health Technology, Dongguan University of Technology, Dongguan, China.
Baoguo LiTianjian Laboratory of Advanced Biomedical Sciences, Academy of Medical sciences, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Jiong WangDepartment of Pharmacy, Shaoxing People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Shaoxing University, Shaoxing, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.
Shaoyan XuanDepartment of Pharmacy, Shaoxing People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Shaoxing University, Shaoxing, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.
Shu YangDepartment of Pharmacy, Shaoxing People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Shaoxing University, Shaoxing, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.
Zhihua TangDepartment of Pharmacy, Shaoxing People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Shaoxing University, Shaoxing, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.
Minxiu WangDepartment of Pharmacy, Shaoxing People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Shaoxing University, Shaoxing, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0000-6615-4297

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNon-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease. The global burden of NAFLD is increasing. This study used the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study data to assess the burden and development trends of NAFLD from 1990 to 2021.

methodsThe incidence, prevalence, death and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of NAFLD in geographic populations worldwide from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the GBD 2021 study data. The global temporal trend of NAFLD from 1990 to 2021 was evaluated using estimated annual percentage change and age-standardized rate. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict NAFLD burden future trends to 2035.

resultsThe global age standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of NAFLD among the all-age population increased by 25% and the age standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) increased by 24%. The age standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age standardized DALYs rate (ASDR) were relatively stable. Countries with middle socio-demographic index (SDI) had the highest ASIR and ASPR from 1990 to 2021, high-middle SDI and high SDI had the lowest ASMR and ASDR. North Africa and Middle East had the highest ASIR and ASPR in 2021, ASIR increased at the greatest rate in East Asia and Western Europe, ASPR increased at the greatest rate in Western Europe. In 2021, the highest number of incidence cases and incidence rates were in 20-24 years group, reflecting a tendency towards a younger onset of NAFLD.

conclusionsThe global burden of NAFLD has risen steadily from 1990 to 2021, and projections to 2035, placing enormous pressure on society. It is necessary to implement measures targeting risk factors such as high fasting plasma glucose and tobacco, including improving lifestyle, adjusting diet, and applying drug intervention.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseNon-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseAdolescentAdultAgedBayes TheoremDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceQuality-Adjusted Life YearsYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID40845036
PMCPMC12373163

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.