Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40844380›Full record

SynthesisClinical pharmacology and therapeutics2026

Quantitative Model-Informed Dose Selection for a Milvexian Phase III Study in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation.

Wangda Zhou, Emily Bozenhardt, Gregory E Alexander, Matthew L Zierhut, Samira Merali, Antoinette Ajavon-Hartmann, Peter Zannikos, Hyunmoon Back, EunYoung Suh, Navin Goyal and 3 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Clinical pharmacology and therapeutics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Wangda ZhouJohnson & Johnson, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5902-0709
Emily BozenhardtJohnson & Johnson, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.
Gregory E AlexanderJohnson & Johnson, San Diego, California, USA.
Matthew L ZierhutCertara USA Inc., Radnor, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5221-9157
Samira MeraliBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
Antoinette Ajavon-HartmannBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0690-5989
Peter ZannikosJohnson & Johnson, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9444-3862
Hyunmoon BackBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
EunYoung SuhJohnson & Johnson, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.
Navin GoyalJohnson & Johnson, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8521-0108
Mahesh N SamtaniJohnson & Johnson, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.
Alexei N PlotnikovJohnson & Johnson, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.
Chandni ValiathanJohnson & Johnson, San Diego, California, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Milvexian, an activated factor XI inhibitor, is being evaluated in the LIBREXIA phase III program for the prevention of thrombotic events, including in patients with atrial fibrillation (LIBREXIA AF). To guide the selection of a phase III dose regimen for LIBREXIA AF, two main approaches were used: (1) population pharmacokinetics and exposure-response modeling of milvexian phase I and phase II (AXIOMATIC-TKR) study data was performed to characterize the relationship between milvexian population pharmacokinetics and clinical efficacy, safety, and coagulation biomarkers; and (2) a model-based meta-analysis was developed using published clinical trial data from comparator anticoagulants in total hip or knee replacement patients. When used to simulate exposures for an atrial fibrillation population, the milvexian 100 mg twice-daily dose regimen had a concentration maximum peak-to-trough ratio of 1.35. At this regimen, the simulated median venous thromboembolism rate was 9.4% (lower than enoxaparin at ~21%). No relationship between bleeding and milvexian exposure was observed. Simulations using the model-based meta-analysis estimated that milvexian 100 mg twice-daily would lead to a systemic embolism odds ratio of 0.84 (95% CI: 0.65, 1.12) compared with apixaban 5 mg twice-daily for patients with atrial fibrillation. This integrated model-informed dose-selection approach supported 100 mg twice-daily as a regimen of milvexian to be evaluated in the phase III milvexian LIBREXIA AF study.

Indexed as

AnticoagulantsAtrial FibrillationModels, BiologicalAgedClinical Trials, Phase III as TopicComputer SimulationDose-Response Relationship, DrugFemaleHemorrhageHumansMaleMiddle AgedPyrimidinesTriazolesVenous ThromboembolismAnticoagulantsmilvexianPyrimidinesTriazoles

Identifiers

PMID40844380
PMCPMC12746510

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.