Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40842267›Full record

Trial reportAlimentary pharmacology & therapeutics2026

Long-Term Follow-Up of Patients in a Prospective Study of NA Discontinuation Identifies Different Patterns of HBsAg Loss.

Simon J Hume, Samuel Hall, Gareth Burns, Sara Vogrin, Daniel Tassone, Paul Desmond, Dilip Ratnam, Miriam T Levy, Rohit Sawhney, Amanda Nicoll and 9 more

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialAbstract readClinical Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT02581033 (Determinants of Sustained Virological Response After Discontinuation of Long-term Nucleoside Analogue Therapy in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients), which is not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02581033 naunknown statusnot on this map

Determinants of Sustained Virological Response After Discontinuation of Long-term Nucleoside Analogue Therapy in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients

TypeinterventionalSponsorSt Vincent's Hospital MelbourneRan2014 to 2018Enrolled200ConditionsChronic Hepatitis B.ArmsNucleoside Analogue therapy
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Simon J HumeSt Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0002-0435-6138
Samuel HallSt Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7158-585X
Gareth BurnsWestern Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Sara VogrinUniversity of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Daniel TassoneSt Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Paul DesmondSt Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Dilip RatnamMonash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Miriam T LevyLiverpool Hospital, New South, Liverpool, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9329-8018
Rohit SawhneyMonash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Amanda NicollMonash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1855-2757
Zina ValaydonWestern Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Simone I StrasserRoyal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Meng NguConcord Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Marie SinclairAustin Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0657-3048
Chris MeredithBankstown-Lindcombe Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Gayle V MatthewsSt Vincent's Hospital Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Kumar VisvanathanSt Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Jacinta A HolmesSt Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7819-4904
Alexander J ThompsonSt Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

Funding

National Health and Medical Research Council 1066536
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsDiscontinuing nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) may lead to functional cure (HBsAg loss) in selected patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We evaluated the rates and predictors of HBsAg loss during long-term follow-up in a prospective cohort.

methodsThis real-world extension study followed participants from a prospective trial of NA discontinuation. All patients had HBeAg-negative CHB without cirrhosis. Efficacy outcomes (including HBsAg loss and decline) and safety outcomes [including hepatitis flare and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)] were evaluated.

resultsAmongst 97 participants (85% Asian), with a median follow-up of 7 years, the cumulative incidence of HBsAg loss was 10%, 13% and 22% at 5, 7 and 9 years after stopping NA. HBsAg loss was associated with a lower end-of-treatment (EOT) HBsAg level (HR = 0.28, p < 0.001), older age (HR = 1.14, p = 0.005) and peak off-treatment HBV DNA level (OR = 0.50, p = 0.002). Participants with EOT HBsAg level ≤ 10 IU/mL experienced early HBsAg loss (< 96 weeks) without ALT flares whilst those with EOT HBsAg level ≥ 10 IU/mL experienced late (≥ 96 weeks) HBsAg loss, often following ALT flares (5/8 cases). No cases of hepatic decompensation, liver transplantation or death occurred. Median liver stiffness did not increase. HCC was diagnosed in three individuals (4.4/1000 person-years).

conclusionThe rate of functional cure increased during long-term follow-up but remained low. EOT HBsAg strongly predicted the likelihood and timing of HBsAg loss. ALT flares were associated with HBsAg decline, and in some cases, with delayed HBsAg loss.

trial registrationThe clinical study was supported by the National Health and Medical Research Council of the study clinical trial ID is NCT02581033.

Indexed as

Antiviral AgentsHepatitis B, ChronicHepatitis B Surface AntigensNucleosidesAdultAgedCarcinoma, HepatocellularFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLiver NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesTreatment OutcomeAntiviral AgentsHepatitis B Surface AntigensNucleosidesalt flarechronic hepatitis bfunctional curehbsag levelhbsag losshepatitis flarelong‐term follow‐upnucleos(t)ide analogue discontinuation

Identifiers

PMID40842267
PMCPMC12746397

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.