Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40841605›Full record

ArticleBMC cardiovascular disorders2025

Long-term risk of stroke after acute coronary syndrome: the ABC-10* study on heart disease.

Heba T Mahmoud, Rocco Cordiano, David Merotto, Mattia Ludovico Dario, Fiorella Cavuto, Giuseppe Berton

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Heba T MahmoudThe ABC Study on Heart Disease Foundation-ONLUS, Conegliano, Italy.
Rocco CordianoDepartment of Internal Medicine and Cardiology, Adria General Hospital, Adria, Italy.
David MerottoThe ABC Study on Heart Disease Foundation-ONLUS, Conegliano, Italy.
Mattia Ludovico DarioThe ABC Study on Heart Disease Foundation-ONLUS, Conegliano, Italy.
Fiorella CavutoThe ABC Study on Heart Disease Foundation-ONLUS, Conegliano, Italy.
Giuseppe BertonThe ABC Study on Heart Disease Foundation-ONLUS, Conegliano, Italy. giubeste@gmail.com.

Funding

Grant from the Veneto Region in Italy Act no. 748, Venice, May 14, 2015, grant number 2987929
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrevious studies link myocardial infarction to increased stroke risk. This long-term prospective study examines stroke incidence and stroke-related mortality in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients, identifying risk factors and geographic disparities.

methodsWe enrolled 535 ACS patients admitted to hospitals across three provinces in the Veneto region of Italy. Patients' residences were classified into three urban and three rural areas in each province. Patients were followed prospectively for 24 years or until death. Survival analysis was conducted using uni- and Multivariable Cox regression models.

resultsAll patients, except for three, completed the follow-up, totaling 6.151 person-years. During follow-up, 84 patients experienced a stroke, with 85% being ischemic and 15% hemorrhagic, proving fatal in 43 cases. The stroke incidence rate was 14/1.000 person-years. Older age (HR 1.84; 95% CI 1.30-2.60), atrial fibrillation (AF) (HR 2.64; 95% CI 1.49-4.67), and a higher albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) tertile (HR 1.38; 95% CI 1.04-1.83) were independent predictors of overall stroke risk, while higher estimated glomerular filtration rate tertile (eGFR) (HR 0.71; 95% CI 0.53-0.95) was independent predictor a lower risk. A sub-analysis revealed older age (HR 2.67; 95% CI 1.60-4.45) and AF (HR 2.95; 95% CI 1.38-6.32) as independent predictors of fatal stroke. Unexpectedly, we observed a higher fatal stroke risk in urban areas (HR 1.89; 95% CI 1.03-3.48) and southern provinces (HR 1.71; 95% CI 1.15-2.53).

conclusionThis long-term cohort study reinforces the role of established clinical predictors (age, AF, renal function) in post-ACS stroke risk and highlights novel geographic disparities in fatal stroke outcomes. These findings support the integration of geographic and clinical risk stratification in long-term secondary prevention strategies.

Indexed as

Acute Coronary SyndromeHemorrhagic StrokeStrokeAgedAged, 80 and overAtrial FibrillationFemaleGlomerular Filtration RateHealth Status DisparitiesHumansIncidenceItalyMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesAcute coronary syndromeFatal strokeFollow-up studiesGeographic differenceMyocardial infarctionStrokeUrban-rural

Identifiers

PMID40841605
PMCPMC12369170

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.