Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40841394›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Explainable AI reveals tissue pathology and psychosocial drivers of opioid prescription for non-specific chronic low back pain.

Michelle W Tong, Katharina Ziegeler, Virginie Kreutzinger, Sharmila Majumdar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Michelle W TongDepartment of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, USA. michelle.tong2@ucsf.edu.
Katharina ZiegelerDepartment of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, USA.
Virginie KreutzingerDepartment of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, USA.
Sharmila MajumdarDepartment of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, USA.

Funding

Technology Research Site for Advanced, Faster Quantitative Imaging for BACPACUH3AR076724 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI MAJUMDAR, SHARMILA · 2020 to 2023
$4.8M
NIAMS NIH HHS UH3 AR076724NIH HHS UH3AR076724
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Effective management of non-specific chronic lower back pain (ns-cLBP) requires nuanced prescription decisions within evolving guidelines for conservative treatment. This study developed comprehensive LBP patient profiles from electronic medical records (EMR), integrating clinical charts (demographics, social determinants, diagnoses, medications) and radiology reports (MRI-confirmed diagnoses) to predict pharmacological management strategies. One-vs-one and one-vs-rest classification frameworks systematically evaluated treatment decisions across three prescriptions: no medication, NSAIDs, and opioids. Real-world complexity and heterogeneity in ns-cLBP management was reflected in modest yet clinically meaningful performance metrics (balanced accuracy = 0.58, AUC = 0.62, F1-score = 0.42). Chart-documented diagnoses marginally outperformed MRI-reported pathology as predictors, though this difference was within the range of variability, which suggests the importance of diagnoses informed by patient-reported symptoms in shaping treatment pathways. SHAP feature importance analysis identified consistent predictors (year_at_first_imaging) and variable factors (spinal_stenosis, disc_pathology, race_ethnicity, negative_psych_state, osteoarthritis_osteoarthrosis) in prescriptions, with higher associations observed in those with anxiety or depression, partnered individuals and females. By leveraging explainable AI, this study quantifies the interplay between biological and psychosocial drivers of prescribing decisions, offering a transparent, data-driven monitoring tool for understanding in chronic pain care. These findings demonstrate the potential of multi-modal EMR data and interpretable models to guide more personalized, equitable ns-cLBP management and opioid prescriptions.

Indexed as

Analgesics, OpioidChronic PainLow Back PainAdultAgedAnti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-SteroidalDrug PrescriptionsElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedAnalgesics, OpioidAnti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-SteroidalEHREMRExplainable/Interpretable AIMedicationNon-specific chronic lower back painNSAIDOpioidPrescription

Identifiers

PMID40841394
PMCPMC12370884

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.