Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40838872›Full record

ArticleThe oncologist2025

Intermediate endpoints as surrogates for long-term outcomes in breast cancer adjuvant chemotherapy trials.

Andrea Blasco, Sara López-Tarruella, Ander Urruticoechea, Eva Carrasco, Gonzalo Spera, Miguel Martín, Begoña Bermejo, Linnea Chap, Manuel Ruiz-Borrego, John Crown and 8 more

8 registry-linked trialsAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The oncologist, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 8 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00021255 phase3completednot on this map

Multicenter Phase III Randomized Trial Comparing Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide Followed By Docetaxel (AC-T) With Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide Followed By Docetaxel and Trastuzumab (Herceptin)(AC-TH) and With Docetaxel, Carboplatin and Trastuzumab (TCH) In The Adjuvant Treatment Of Node Positive and High Risk Node Negative Patients With Operable Breast Cancer Containing The HER2 Alteration

TypeinterventionalSponsorSanofiRan2001 to 2014Enrolled3,222ConditionsBreast NeoplasmsArmsDoxorubicin, Cyclophosphamide, Docetaxel, Herceptin, Carboplatin
NCT00121992 phase3completednot on this map

Phase III Randomized Comparing Docetaxel, Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide (TAC) vs 5-Fluorouracil, Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide (FAC) as Adjuvant Treatment of High Risk Operable Breast Cancer Patients With Negative Axillary Lymph Nodes

TypeinterventionalSponsorSpanish Breast Cancer Research GroupRan1999 to 2013Enrolled1,060ConditionsBreast NeoplasmsArmsDocetaxel, 5-fluorouracil, Doxorubicin, Cyclophosphamide
NCT00129389 phase3completednot on this map

Multicenter Randomized Phase III Trial to Compare 6 FAC Cycles vs 4 FAC Cycles Followed by 8 Weekly Paclitaxel Administrations, as Adjuvant Treatment for Node Negative Operable Breast Cancer Patients

TypeinterventionalSponsorSpanish Breast Cancer Research GroupRan2003 to 2013Enrolled1,925ConditionsBreast CancerArmsFluorouracil, Doxorubicin, Cyclophosphamide, Paclitaxel
NCT00129922 phase3completednot on this map

Phase III Study to Compare 6 Courses of FEC (Fluorouracil, Epirubicin and Cyclophosphamide) vs. 4 Courses of FEC Followed by 8 Weekly Paclitaxel Administrations, as Adjuvant Treatment for Node Positive Operable BC Patients

TypeinterventionalSponsorSpanish Breast Cancer Research GroupRan1999 to 2007Enrolled1,289ConditionsBreast CancerArmspaclitaxel, Fluorouracil, Epirubicin, Cyclophosphamide
NCT00129935 phase3completednot on this map

Phase III Trial to Compare Epirubicin and Cyclophosphamide (EC) Followed by Docetaxel (T) to Epirubicin and Docetaxel (ET) Followed by Capecitabine (X) as Adjuvant Treatment, Node Positive Breast Cancer Patients

TypeinterventionalSponsorSpanish Breast Cancer Research GroupRan2004 to 2019Enrolled1,384ConditionsBreast CancerArmsDocetaxel, Capecitabine, Epirubicin, Cyclophosphamide
NCT00130533 phase3completednot on this map

Multicenter, Open-label, Randomized Phase III to Evaluate Efficacy of Maintenance Treatment With Capecitabine Following Standard Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Operable Triple Negative Breast Cancer Patients

TypeinterventionalSponsorSpanish Breast Cancer Research GroupRan2006 to 2017Enrolled876ConditionsBreast CancerArmsCapecitabine
NCT00312208 phase3completednot on this map

A Multicenter Phase III Randomized Trial Comparing Docetaxel in Combination With Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide Versus Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide Followed by Docetaxel as Adjuvant Treatment of Operable Breast Cancer HER2neu Negative Patients With Positive Axillary Lymph Nodes

TypeinterventionalSponsorSanofiRan2001 to 2013Enrolled3,299ConditionsBreast CancerArmsdocetaxel, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide, Docetaxel,doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide
NCT00688740 phase3completednot on this map

A Multicenter Phase III Randomized Trial Comparing Docetaxel in Combination With Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide (TAC) Versus 5-fluorouracil in Combination With Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide (FAC) as Adjuvant Treatment of Operable Breast Cancer Patients With Positive Axillary Lymph Nodes.

TypeinterventionalSponsorSanofiRan1997 to 2010Enrolled1,491ConditionsBreast CancerArmsDocetaxel, 5-fluorouracil, Doxorubicin, Cyclophosphamide
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Andrea BlascoGEICAM, Spanish Breast Cancer Group, San Sebastián de los Reyes 28703, Spain.
Sara López-TarruellaHospital Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Gregorio Marañón (IiSGM), Universidad Complutense, Madrid 28007, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-2606-9538
Ander UrruticoecheaGEICAM, Spanish Breast Cancer Group, San Sebastián de los Reyes 28703, Spain.
Eva CarrascoGEICAM, Spanish Breast Cancer Group, San Sebastián de los Reyes 28703, Spain.
Gonzalo SperaMedical Affairs Department, Translational Research in Oncology (TRIO), Montevideo 11300, Uruguay.
Miguel MartínGEICAM, Spanish Breast Cancer Group, San Sebastián de los Reyes 28703, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-9237-3231
Begoña BermejoGEICAM, Spanish Breast Cancer Group, San Sebastián de los Reyes 28703, Spain.
Linnea ChapBeverly Hills Cancer Center, Beverly Hills, CA 90211, United States.
Manuel Ruiz-BorregoGEICAM, Spanish Breast Cancer Group, San Sebastián de los Reyes 28703, Spain.
John CrownDepartment of Medical Oncology, St Vincent's University Hospital, Dublin DO4 T6F4, United Kingdom.
Jose A García-SaenzGEICAM, Spanish Breast Cancer Group, San Sebastián de los Reyes 28703, Spain.
Arlene ChanFaculty of Health Sciences, Curtin Medical School, Perth, WA 6102, Australia.
Ángel Guerrero-ZotanoGEICAM, Spanish Breast Cancer Group, San Sebastián de los Reyes 28703, Spain.
Vladimir SemiglazovN N Petrov Research Institute of Oncology, St Petersburg 197758, Russia.
Lourdes CalvoGEICAM, Spanish Breast Cancer Group, San Sebastián de los Reyes 28703, Spain.
Tadeusz PienkowskiPostgraduate Medical Education Center, Warsaw 01-813, Poland.
Jesús HerranzGEICAM, Spanish Breast Cancer Group, San Sebastián de los Reyes 28703, Spain.
Dennis SlamonDepartment of Medicine, Division of Hematology and Oncology, David Geffen School of Medicine at the University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1720, United States.

Funding

GEICAM Spanish Breast Cancer Group
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

IMPORTANCE AND

objectiveSeveral definitions of efficacy endpoints have been proposed for clinical trials in early breast cancer (EBC). Invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) and other endpoints have been used as surrogates for overall survival (OS) in adjuvant trials. The aim was to evaluate these endpoints in a comparative way in a large cohort of patients to assess whether they are appropriate surrogates for OS. PARTICIPANTS AND

designIndividual patient data from 8 phase III randomized adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) trials for EBC were analyzed. Trial-level surrogacy analyses were conducted using weighted least squares regression to assess the association between treatment effects on surrogates at different time points-IDFS and other defined endpoints (by STEEP v2.0)-and OS. Correlation between the log hazard ratio (HR) of the endpoints and OS were quantified using R2 values. Preplanned subgroup analyses by tumor subtype were also performed.

resultsResults censoring at 5 years and at longer follow-up (median: 9.6 years) were similar. HR of IDFS and invasive BC-free survival (IBCFS) at 5 years showed a R2 > 0.7 relative to HR of OS. All other surrogates revealed correlations with R2 > 0.5. For patients with hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative intermediate/high-risk tumors, correlation showed higher R2 for IDFS (R2 = 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI] = [0.80-0.98]) and IBCFS (R2 = 0.84; 95% CI = [0.71-0.97]) than distant-recurrence endpoints, while for those with triple negative tumors the highest correlation was seen with distant disease-free survival (R2 = 0.86; 95% CI = [0.75-0.98]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Although all studied endpoints are appropriate surrogates for OS when evaluating CT-based adjuvant interventions, investigators should consider the BC subtype to select the primary endpoint. Trial registration number: ClinTrials.gov: GEICAM/9805: NCT00121992; GEICAM/9906: NCT00129922; GEICAM/2003-02: NCT00129389; GEICAM/2003-10: NCT00129935; CIBOMA/2004-01_GEICAM/2003-11: NCT00130533; BCIRG 001: NCT00688740; BCIRG 005: NCT00312208 and BCIRG 006: NCT00021255.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsAdultAgedChemotherapy, AdjuvantClinical Trials, Phase III as TopicDisease-Free SurvivalFemaleHumansMiddle AgedRandomized Controlled Trials as Topicadjuvant chemotherapybreast cancerearly-stagesurrogate endpoint

Identifiers

PMID40838872
PMCPMC12450318

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.