Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40837347›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of diabetes2025

Impact of COVID-19 outbreak on the seasonality and incidence of type 1 diabetes mellitus: A nationwide cohort study.

Lior Carmon, Yoav Bachar, Amit S Babiev, Itai Hazn, Eli Hershkovitz, David Shaki, Neta Loewenthal, Alon Haim, Guy Hazan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of diabetes, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Lior CarmonPediatric Endocrinology Unit, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer-Sheva 8457108, Israel.
Yoav BacharClinical Research Center, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer-Sheva 8457108, Israel.
Amit S BabievFaculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva 8457108, Israel.
Itai HaznFaculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva 8457108, Israel.
Eli HershkovitzPediatric Endocrinology Unit, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer-Sheva 8457108, Israel.
David ShakiPediatric Endocrinology Unit, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer-Sheva 8457108, Israel.
Neta LoewenthalPediatric Endocrinology Unit, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer-Sheva 8457108, Israel.
Alon HaimPediatric Endocrinology Unit, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer-Sheva 8457108, Israel.
Guy HazanPediatric Endocrinology Unit, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer-Sheva 8457108, Israel.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundType 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) is an autoimmune disease with a multifactorial pathogenesis. Viral infections have been proposed as contributing triggers, supported by the disease's seasonal pattern, which typically shows higher incidence in autumn and winter. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and associated lockdowns created a unique context to examine the incidence and seasonality of T1DM during a period characterized by reduced circulation of common viral infections.

aimTo investigate the incidence and seasonality of T1DM before and during COVID-19 pandemic in relation to global viral infection rates.

methodsThis population-based retrospective study utilized a nationwide computerized database. Extracted data included the number of new T1DM cases over the 8 years preceding and during the COVID-19 pandemic, demographic characteristics of affected individuals, and nationwide respiratory virus polymerase chain reaction data from weekly nasal wash sample collections.

resultsA total of 2176 patients were diagnosed with new-onset T1DM during the pre-pandemic period, compared to 348 cases during the pandemic. In the same periods, 33727 respiratory virus-positive polymerase chain reaction results from nasal wash samples were recorded pre-pandemic, compared to 2603 during the pandemic. Additionally, 363399 positive COVID-19 cases were reported during the pandemic period. Seasonality analysis revealed a higher rate of new-onset T1DM cases and a weaker seasonal pattern during the pandemic. Trend analysis showed a consistent increase in T1DM incidence prior to COVID-19, with a more variable trend observed during the pandemic. Correlation analysis between T1DM incidence and respiratory viruses demonstrated a weak correlation between T1DM incidence and a few respiratory viruses.

conclusionThe observed increase in new-onset T1DM cases and the disruption of its typical seasonal pattern during the COVID-19 pandemic suggest a potential association between respiratory virus exposure and the development of T1DM.

Indexed as

COVID-19PathogenesisSeasonalityType 1 diabetes mellitusViral trigger

Identifiers

PMID40837347
PMCPMC12362424

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.