Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40837274›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Europe2025

Trends and variation in the incidence of hip fracture in England before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic (2014-2024): a population-based observational study.

James Webster, Emre Oguzman, Eva J A Morris, Sasha Shepperd, Xavier L Griffin, Antony Johansen, Raphael Goldacre

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Europe, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Global, regional, and national burden of vertebral fractures among women from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis based on the global burden of disease study.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
    Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

James WebsterApplied Health Research Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.
Emre OguzmanApplied Health Research Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.
Eva J A MorrisApplied Health Research Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.
Sasha ShepperdApplied Health Research Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.
Xavier L GriffinBone and Joint Health, Queen Mary University London, London, UK.
Antony JohansenUniversity Hospital of Wales and School of Medicine, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK.
Raphael GoldacreApplied Health Research Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Hip fractures are a common serious injury in older adults. The COVID-19 pandemic had a substantial impact on hip fracture prevention services, but contemporary data on incidence are scarce. We investigated recent trends and variation in the incidence of hip fracture in England. Methods: A population-based study was conducted of hip fracture hospital presentations in adults aged ≥50 years using English national secondary care data (January 2014-October 2024). Trends in incidence were compared across pre-pandemic (January 2014-February 2020), pandemic (March-2020-July-2021), and post-pandemic periods (August 2021-October 2024). Variation by age, sex, and area-level deprivation were explored. Findings: From 2014 to 2024, there were 704,762 hip fractures in 669,101 patients. Age-standardised incidence rates steadily declined from 2014 to 2019 from a mean monthly rate of 28.0-26.4 per 100,000 population. Incidence rates were below expected levels during the pandemic (IRR 0.96, 95% CI 0.94-0.97) but above expected levels in the post-pandemic period (IRR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.04), resulting in 5595 more hip fractures than expected from August 2021 to October 2024. Hip fractures were more common in women, but temporal trends were consistent by sex. Incidence rates were higher in the most compared with the least deprived quintile; these inequalities remained largely unchanged by 2024 (IRR, 95% CI 1.67 [1.45-1.93] in men; 1.30 [1.19-1.42] in women). Interpretation: This study highlights an excess of hip fracture presentations to hospital since the COVID-19 pandemic, and continued disparities in incidence by deprivation, despite an overall decreasing long-term trend. More equitable prevention strategies are needed, such as through more widespread screening for fracture risk and better coverage of fracture liaison services. Funding: Authors are supported by the NIHR Oxford BRC.

Indexed as

COVID-19EpidemiologyHip fractureIncidence

Identifiers

PMID40837274
PMCPMC12362259

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.