Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40831585›Full record

ArticleRisk management and healthcare policy2025

The Evolving Global Epidemiology of Presenile Dementia in People Aged Under 65: A 40-year Cross-Sectional Study.

Dan Zhao, Yingjie Luo, Binfa Ouyang, Li Wang, Shan Xu, Yijin Zheng, Xiaolin Peng, Xuan Zhong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Risk management and healthcare policy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Dan Zhao *Shenzhen Nanshan Mental Health Center, Shenzhen Nanshan Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Yingjie Luo *Shenzhen Nanshan Mental Health Center, Shenzhen Nanshan Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Binfa OuyangShenzhen Nanshan Mental Health Center, Shenzhen Nanshan Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Li WangDepartment of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Shan XuShenzhen Nanshan Mental Health Center, Shenzhen Nanshan Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Yijin ZhengDepartment of Elderly Health Management, Shenzhen Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Xiaolin PengShenzhen Nanshan Mental Health Center, Shenzhen Nanshan Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Xuan ZhongShenzhen Nanshan Mental Health Center, Shenzhen Nanshan Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0003-9673-5422

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Aim: Despite presenile dementia substantial impact on patients, caregivers, and healthcare systems, comprehensive global assessments of its burden are lacking. This research aims to address this knowledge gap by investigating the trends in the epidemiology of presenile dementia since 1990 and forecast to 2030, providing essential evidence for healthcare policy and resource planning. Methods: This cross-sectional, population-based study leveraged data for individuals aged 40-64 years of presenile dementia from the GBD study, which performed a detailed evaluation related metrics across 204 countries. We calculated age-standardized rates for incidence, mortality, and DALYs. Projections were generated using a Bayesian APC model based on historical trends. SDI quintiles were used to assess disparities across countries. Results: The global age-standardized incidence rate of presenile dementia is expected to rise to 43.97 per 100,000 population by 2030 (EAPC, 0.07 [95% CI: -0.02-0.17]). However, age-standardized death and DALY rates are forecasted to decline to 2.61 (EAPC, -0.01 [95% CI: -0.07-0.05]) and 113.38 per 100,000 (EAPC, -0.05 [95% CI: -0.10-0.00]), respectively. Women are expected to exhibit higher incidence rates than men (47.13 vs 40.94 per 100,000 in 2030), reflecting consistent sex-based disparities. Incidence, death, and DALY rates are projected to continue to rise in low SDI countries. Conclusion: The overall burden of presenile dementia remains substantial due to continued increases in incidence rates, particularly pronounced in low-resource settings. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted prevention strategies, particularly in low-resource settings, and continued investments in health care infrastructure to address disparities. Expanding screening programs to younger populations globally could help reduce the associated burden of dementia.

Indexed as

age-standardized ratesdisease burdenepidemiologyforecastpresenile dementia

Identifiers

PMID40831585
PMCPMC12358499

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.