ArticleCommunity dentistry and oral epidemiology2025
Oral and Oropharyngeal Cancer Mortality in Brazil: Estimates and Projections up to 2042.
Article in Community dentistry and oral epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Potential Years of Life Lost Due to Lip, Oral and Oropharyngeal Cancer in Brazil: Estimates and Forecasting.International dental journal · 2026Article
- Mortality Trends and Projections for Oral, Lip, and Oropharyngeal Cancers in Brazil.Oral diseases · 2026Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesTo assess the effect of age-period-birth cohort on mortality rates related to lip/oral and oropharyngeal cancer (LOOPC) in Brazil from 1980 to 2019 and to estimate the future mortality rate for 2042. MATERIALS AND
methodsMortality rate per 100 000 inhabitants, and age-standardised mortality rate (ASR) per 100 000 inhabitants were estimated. The Prais-Winsten regression model was used to estimate the trends and the annual percent change (APC%). The age-period-cohort effects were calculated using the Poisson regression model. Lee-Carter model was employed to perform projections.
resultsA total of 134 941 deaths were observed. Prais-Winsten regression model revealed a slight upward trend in lip and oral cancer mortality among men (p = 0.04) and women (p = 0.02), as well as in oropharyngeal cancer among men (p = 0.02). Significant age-period-cohort was observed for LOOPC in both sexes (p < 0.01). The risk ratio declined in recent cohorts for men (Both Cancers) but increased for women (Lip/Oral Cancer). Period analysis showed a risk increase for lip/oral cancer in recent periods in both sexes and a decrease for men and women for oropharyngeal cancer. In 2042, mortality projections decrease in lip/oral cancer for men aged between 40 and 60 years and oropharyngeal cancer in men between 35 and 60 years. For women, no significant changes are projected. The model projections mortality rate reveal varied outcomes across the diverse regions of Brazil.
conclusionA significant age-period cohort was observed over the 40 years assessed. Projections for 2042 indicated a significant decrease in LOOPC mortality rates for men and no change for women.
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