Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40830182›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Assessing land urbanization and ecological planning impact on carbon stock and its economic value from coupled InVEST-PLUS models.

Zhenxing Xiong, Yihao Zhang, Maohong Liu, Yuan Gao, Tianci Gu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Zhenxing XiongSchool of Public Finance and Taxation, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing, 210023, Jiangsu, China.
Yihao ZhangCollege of Public Finance and Investment, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, 200433, China.
Maohong LiuSchool of Public Finance and Taxation, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing, 210023, Jiangsu, China.
Yuan GaoSchool of Public Finance and Taxation, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing, 210023, Jiangsu, China.
Tianci GuState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China. gutc@mail.bnu.edu.cn.

Funding

National Social Science Foundation of China 21FJYB018
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Rapid urbanization in China profoundly impacts terrestrial carbon stocks, necessitating robust assessment and prediction frameworks. This study employed a coupled InVEST-PLUS model to analyse carbon stock dynamics and the economic value of carbon sinks in Jiangsu Province, a rapidly urbanizing region. We evaluated historical changes (2000-2020) and projected future impacts (2020-2040) under various land-use planning scenarios and climate emission pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5). Our findings reveal a significant historical carbon stock decrease of 14.34 Tg in Jiangsu Province between 2000 and 2020, with 86.11% of this reduction occurring from 2000 to 2010. The conversion of cropland to built-up land emerged as a critical driver of carbon loss and diminished carbon sink economic value. Projections indicate that Cropland Protection (CP) and Ecological Protection (EP) scenarios are crucial for mitigating these declines. Integrating climate change, we found carbon sink losses escalated stepwise with increasing emission intensity, with soil carbon losses consistently exceeding those from vegetation. Policy effectiveness varied, with the EP scenario performing optimally under low emission conditions. This study underscores the urgent need for strategic land-use planning to safeguard carbon stocks and economic stability, thereby contributing to carbon neutrality goals.

Indexed as

Carbon stocksEconomic valuesInVEST modelLand use changePLUS model

Identifiers

PMID40830182
PMCPMC12365311

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