Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40827400›Full record

ArticleCirculation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes2025

Cost-Effectiveness of Hypertension Treatment According to 2017 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association Guidelines.

Joanne M Penko, Brandon K Bellows, Susan Hennessy, Dhruv S Kazi, Ross Boylan, Yiyi Zhang, Pamela G Coxson, Lee Goldman, Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo, Andrew E Moran

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Cost-effectiveness analysis of early antihypertensive treatment for hypertension detected at health screening.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Joanne M PenkoDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, CA (J.M.P., S.H., R.B., P.G.C.).
Brandon K BellowsDivision of General Medicine, Department of Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY (B.K.B., Y.Z., A.E.M.).ORCID 0000-0003-1395-6047
Susan HennessyDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, CA (J.M.P., S.H., R.B., P.G.C.).ORCID 0000-0002-6342-7138
Dhruv S KaziSmith Center for Outcomes Research in Cardiology, Division of Cardiology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA (D.S.K.).ORCID 0000-0002-9510-2979
Ross BoylanDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, CA (J.M.P., S.H., R.B., P.G.C.).
Yiyi ZhangDivision of General Medicine, Department of Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY (B.K.B., Y.Z., A.E.M.).ORCID 0000-0002-8663-5001
Pamela G CoxsonDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, CA (J.M.P., S.H., R.B., P.G.C.).
Lee GoldmanDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, and Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY (L.G.).ORCID 0009-0006-0759-7286
Kirsten Bibbins-DomingoDivision of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, CA (K.B.-D.).ORCID 0000-0002-8962-0622
Andrew E MoranDivision of General Medicine, Department of Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY (B.K.B., Y.Z., A.E.M.).ORCID 0000-0003-3554-0085

Funding

Improving Blood Pressure Screening and Treatment Strategies in Young AdultsR01HL158790 · NHLBI · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI AN, JAEJIN, ZHANG, YIYI · 2021 to 2025
$3.5M
Model Based Approach to Improving Hypertension Control in PopulationsR01HL130500 · NHLBI · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI MORAN, ANDREW EDWARD · 2016 to 2019
$2.4M
Comparing the value of intensive systolic blood pressure treatment implementation strategiesK01HL140170 · NHLBI · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI BELLOWS, BRANDON K · 2018 to 2022
$709k
NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL140170NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL130500NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL158790
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCompared with the 2003 Seventh Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC7) guideline, the 2017 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association guideline (ACC/AHA 2017) expanded hypertension diagnostic criteria to blood pressure (BP) ≥130/80 mm Hg and intensified treatment goals to <130/80 mm Hg. The cost-effectiveness of ACC/AHA 2017 guideline treatment has not been quantified.

methodsWe used the Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Policy Model to simulate hypertension treatment according to ACC/AHA 2017 compared with JNC7 in untreated US adults aged 35 to 79 years. Outcomes were projected over 10 years and included CVD events and deaths, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and total health care costs (ie, costs of antihypertensive treatment and costs of health care utilization for cardiovascular and noncardiovascular care, regardless of payer). Cost-effectiveness was calculated from a health care sector perspective as incremental health care costs divided by incremental QALYs.

resultsUnder ACC/AHA 2017, 4.9 million more US adults are indicated for treatment and 14.9 million are recommended more intensive treatment goals compared with JNC7. Over 10 years, ACC/AHA 2017 versus JNC7 treatment would cost $48 300 per QALY gained ($38 300/QALY in men; $65 200/QALY in women). Overall, 34% of CVD events prevented by ACC/AHA 2017 versus JNC7 would be from expanded diagnosis (at $120 900/QALY gained), and 66% from intensified BP treatment goals (at $18 900/QALY gained). Cost-effectiveness improved with a longer time horizon ($17 600 per QALY gained at 30 years) and when generic drug costs were assumed in place of median US drug costs ($27 900 per QALY gained in 10 years). ACC/AHA 2017 is cost-saving in adults with BP ≥140/90 mm Hg and prior CVD or 10-year CVD risk ≥10%.

conclusionsInitiating hypertension treatment according to the ACC/AHA 2017 guideline in untreated US adults is cost-effective compared with JNC7 at 10 years. Prioritizing low-cost generic medicines and intensive BP treatment of high-CVD-risk adults with BP ≥140/90 mm Hg returns the most value.

Indexed as

American Heart AssociationAntihypertensive AgentsBlood PressureDrug CostsHypertensionPractice Guidelines as TopicAdultAgedCost-Benefit AnalysisCost SavingsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedModels, EconomicQuality-Adjusted Life YearsAntihypertensive Agentsadultblood pressurehypertensionpolicyUnited States

Identifiers

PMID40827400
PMCPMC12367062

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.