Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40827319›Full record

ArticleJournal of Korean medical science2025

Developing a Prediction Model for Suicidality Among COVID-19 Patients in Korea Using Timely Data From the National Center for Disaster and Trauma.

Hyejin Kim, Youngrong Lee, Euihyun Kwak, Dongkyu Lee, So Yeon Hyun, Kyungmin Kang, Minjae Son, Myungjae Baik, Jong-Woo Paik, Minyoung Sim and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of Korean medical science, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Hyejin Kim *Department of Public Health, Graduate School, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5553-2248
Youngrong Lee *Department of Preventive Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1367-4381
Euihyun Kwak *National Center for Disaster and Trauma, National Center for Mental Health, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0009-4969-5978
Dongkyu LeeDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9093-3696
So Yeon HyunNational Center for Disaster and Trauma, National Center for Mental Health, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3510-645X
Kyungmin KangNational Center for Disaster and Trauma, National Center for Mental Health, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0001-6161-8889
Minjae SonNational Center for Disaster and Trauma, National Center for Mental Health, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0009-3365-0660
Myungjae BaikDepartment of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8989-7405
Jong-Woo PaikDepartment of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1804-8497
Minyoung SimNational Center for Disaster and Trauma, National Center for Mental Health, Seoul, Korea. mdsim@hanmail.net.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9289-1979
Sun Jae JungDepartment of Public Health, Graduate School, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5194-7339

Funding

Korea Health Industry Development Institute HI22C0505
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo date, no study has developed a predictive model based on the timely data (diagnosed within a month) of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This study aimed to develop screening tools and a model for predicting suicidality based on data from patients diagnosed with COVID-19 within the past month.

methodsWe analyzed data from 96,694 COVID-19 patients collected by the Korean National Center for Disaster and Trauma. Using classification and regression tree (CART) and random forest models, we predicted suicidality based on 39 features, including demographic information, COVID-19-related factors, and psychological symptoms such as depression, anxiety, somatic, and post-traumatic stress symptoms. Based on the final model with the highest performance index, we presented the results with a scorecard that includes multiple cut-off scores.

resultsThe area under curve was 0.71 for the CART model and 0.85 for the random forest model, with the sensitivity and specificity of the random forest model being 73.4% and 83.9%, respectively. The suicidality of COVID-19 patients was most strongly associated with suicidal ideation, fatigue, anticipatory anxiety, uncontrollable worrying, depressive mood, generalized worry, restlessness, changes in appetite, concentration problems, and feeling nervous.

conclusionWe developed a well-performing prediction model for suicidality among Korean COVID-19 patients and developed a scorecard to expand the feasibility of the model in public mental health practice.

Indexed as

COVID-19Suicidal IdeationSuicideAdultAgedAnxietyDepressionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRepublic of KoreaSARS-CoV-2Stress Disorders, Post-TraumaticYoung AdultCOVID-19KoreaNational Mental Health ScreeningPredictionScorecardSuicidality

Identifiers

PMID40827319
PMCPMC12360907

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.