Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40826176›Full record

SynthesisInternational journal of colorectal disease2025

Evaluating the influence of the obesity paradox on survival outcomes in patients being treated surgically for rectal cancer-a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Matthew G Davey, Noel E Donlon, Mark Donnelly, Eanna J Ryan, Odhran K Ryan, Ian S Reynolds, William P Joyce

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in International journal of colorectal disease, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Matthew G DaveyRoyal College of Surgeons in Ireland, 123 St. Stephens Green, Dublin 2, Dublin, Ireland. matthewdavey21@rcsi.com.
Noel E DonlonRoyal College of Surgeons in Ireland, 123 St. Stephens Green, Dublin 2, Dublin, Ireland.
Mark DonnellyRoyal College of Surgeons in Ireland, 123 St. Stephens Green, Dublin 2, Dublin, Ireland.
Eanna J RyanRoyal College of Surgeons in Ireland, 123 St. Stephens Green, Dublin 2, Dublin, Ireland.
Odhran K RyanRoyal College of Surgeons in Ireland, 123 St. Stephens Green, Dublin 2, Dublin, Ireland.
Ian S ReynoldsRoyal College of Surgeons in Ireland, 123 St. Stephens Green, Dublin 2, Dublin, Ireland.
William P JoyceRoyal College of Surgeons in Ireland, 123 St. Stephens Green, Dublin 2, Dublin, Ireland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundObesity is a well-established risk factor for rectal cancer development. The association between obesity and survival outcomes in those undergoing resection for rectal cancer remains unclear. The objective of this study was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis evaluating the association between obesity and overall (OS) and disease-free (DFS) in patients undergoing surgery for rectal cancer with curative intent.

methodsA systematic review was performed as per PRISMA guidelines. Descriptive statistics (Fisher's exact test (†)) were used. Meta-analyses were performed using Mantel-Haenszel and generic inverse variance methods using RevMan version 5.4.

resultsTwenty-three studies with 22,520 patients were included (mean follow-up: 59.7 months). Overall, 18.5% of patients were living with obesity (4174/22,520). Obesity was associated with poorer DFS [60.5% (2289/3783) vs. 62.4% (9576/15,335), P = 0.029, †]; however, a non-significant difference was observed at meta-analysis [hazard ratio (HR): 1.12, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.90-1.40, P = 0.320, heterogeneity (I

conclusionOnce diagnosed and being treated with curative intent for rectal cancer, patients living with obesity exhibit similar survival outcomes as those living without obesity. This study refutes hypotheses that an 'obesity paradox' is protective for survival in patients with rectal cancer. Given the current obesity epidemic, this concept may warrant incorporation into preoperative counselling.

Indexed as

ObesityRectal NeoplasmsDisease-Free SurvivalHumansObesity ParadoxPublication BiasRisk FactorsSurvival AnalysisTreatment OutcomeBody mass indicesObesityObesity surgeryRectal cancer

Identifiers

PMID40826176
PMCPMC12361308

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.