Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40826149›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Fire susceptibility assessment in the Carpathians using an interpretable framework.

Melinda Manczinger, László Kovács, Tibor Kovács

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Melinda ManczingerDoctoral School of Economics and Business Informatics, Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest, 1093, Hungary. melinda.manczinger@uni-corvinus.hu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-5598-8560
László KovácsInstitute of Data Analytics and Information Systems, Department of Statistics, Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest, 1093, Hungary.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9032-402X
Tibor KovácsInstitute of Data Analytics and Information Systems, Department of Information Systems, Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest, 1093, Hungary.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7408-998X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change endangers the Carpathian region by increasing the risk of fires. In response, our study provides a harmonised dataset with twenty-seven variables and develops an interpretable machine learning-based framework for assessing fire susceptibility across all seven countries of the region. We applied a two-stage process: first, using various feature selection techniques to refine predictors before the modeling phase, and second, utilising the SHAP framework to interpret model predictions. Between these steps, advanced machine learning models were optimised and trained in the H2O environment, demonstrating high predictive accuracy. Our findings revealed eight fire susceptibility clusters. The resulting dataset, susceptibility maps, and detailed interpretative insights serve as a valuable resource for local communities and policy-makers in the region.

Indexed as

CarpathiansClimate changeFeature selectionFireInterpretabilityMachine learning

Identifiers

PMID40826149
PMCPMC12361508

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.