Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40825134›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Svalbard's 2024 record summer: An early view of Arctic glacier meltdown?

Thomas Vikhamar Schuler, Rasmus Emil Benestad, Ketil Isaksen, Halfdan Pascal Kierulf, Jack Kohler, Geir Moholdt, Louise Steffensen Schmidt

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Thomas Vikhamar SchulerDepartment of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo NO-0316, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-0972-3929
Rasmus Emil BenestadClimate and Environment Department, The Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo NO-0313, Norway.
Ketil IsaksenClimate and Environment Department, The Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo NO-0313, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-2356-5330
Halfdan Pascal KierulfGeodetic Institute, Norwegian Mapping Authority, Hønefoss NO-3507, Norway.
Jack KohlerGlaciology and Geology Section, Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø NO-9296, Norway.
Geir MoholdtGlaciology and Geology Section, Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø NO-9296, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-8883-1620
Louise Steffensen SchmidtDepartment of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo NO-0316, Norway.

Funding

Research Council of Norway 276730Research Council of Norway 301837
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A record-breaking melt season affected the Arctic glaciers of Svalbard in summer 2024 by a substantial margin. Across the entire archipelago, glacier melting corresponded to an anomaly of up to four SD and exceeded any previous observation. The pan-Svalbard mass loss in summer 2024 amounts to ~61.7 ± 11.1 Gt and corresponds to 1% of the total ice volume on Svalbard and is comparable to that of the Greenland ice sheet (55 ± 35 Gt), which occupies an area about 50 times larger. Altogether, Svalbard and other glacier regions surrounding the Barents Sea lost 102.1 ± 22.9 Gt of ice in a single year and contributed 0.27 ± 0.06 mm (of which 0.16 mm alone is due to Svalbard) to global sea-level, putting the circum-Barents region among the strongest contributors to global sea-level rise in 2024. Most of the 2024 glacier melt occurred during a 6-wk period of persistent atmospheric circulation pattern causing record-high air temperatures, an event with an extremely low recurrence interval under current climate conditions. However, future climate projections suggest that such temperature levels will become increasingly commonplace by the end of the 21st century, potentially even surpassing those of 2024. Svalbard's summer of 2024 serves as a forecast for future glacier meltdown in the Arctic, offering a glimpse into conditions 70 y ahead.

Indexed as

Arctic land iceclimate changesea-level rise

Identifiers

PMID40825134
PMCPMC12403128

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.