Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40825119›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Long-term climate warming weakens positive plant biomass responses globally.

Pengfei Dang, Philippe Ciais, Jiaxin Gao, Yunxiao Zhu, Jiquan Xue, Xiaoliang Qin, Gerard H Ros

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Long-term climate warming weakens positive plant biomass responses globally.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Pengfei DangCollege of Agronomy/State Key Laboratory of Crop Stress Resistance and High-Efficiency Production, Northwest Agriculture and Forestry University, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, China.ORCID 0009-0007-9986-8588
Philippe CiaisLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Commissariat à l'Energie Atomique-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, Université Paris Saclay, Gif Sur Yvette F-91191, France.
Jiaxin GaoCollege of Agronomy/State Key Laboratory of Crop Stress Resistance and High-Efficiency Production, Northwest Agriculture and Forestry University, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, China.ORCID 0009-0001-7701-0536
Yunxiao ZhuCollege of Agronomy/State Key Laboratory of Crop Stress Resistance and High-Efficiency Production, Northwest Agriculture and Forestry University, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, China.ORCID 0009-0002-7763-8443
Jiquan XueCollege of Agronomy/State Key Laboratory of Crop Stress Resistance and High-Efficiency Production, Northwest Agriculture and Forestry University, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, China.
Xiaoliang QinCollege of Agronomy/State Key Laboratory of Crop Stress Resistance and High-Efficiency Production, Northwest Agriculture and Forestry University, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, China.ORCID 0000-0002-2408-622X
Gerard H RosEarth Systems and Global Change, Wageningen University, Wageningen NL-6700AA, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-6062-9770

Funding

MOST | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) 31701384MOST | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) 32071980
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Carbon sequestration through plant biomass responses to global warming plays a vital role in mitigating climate change, but recent evidence suggests that this effect diminishes in the long term. To investigate the effect of warming duration on plant biomass responses, we analyzed a global dataset of 2,291 paired observations, revealing that warming increased overall aboveground plant biomass by 9.4% and belowground biomass by 2.6%. However, as the warming duration increased, the positive plant biomass response shifted to neutral or negative, with great biomass reductions in regions where mean annual temperatures exceeded 10 °C. Global aboveground biomass is projected to decline by 4 to 16% under a 2 °C increase in climate warming. Our study suggests that long-term climate warming will significantly weaken plant carbon storage, even if temperature increases remain within the targets of the Paris Agreement, and offers empirical constraints for global biomass-climate models.

Indexed as

BiomassClimate ChangeGlobal WarmingPlantsCarbon SequestrationTemperatureaboveground biomassbelowground biomassenvironmental factorswarming durationwarming magnitude

Identifiers

PMID40825119
PMCPMC12402990

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.