Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40825107›Full record

ArticleJournal of adolescence2026

Profiling Vulnerability in Youth and Predicting Educational Attainment in Young Adulthood.

Heidi M Renner, Bosco Rowland, Delyse Hutchinson, John W Toumbourou

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of adolescence, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Heidi M RennerSchool of Psychology, Centre for Social and Early Emotional Development (SEED), Faculty of Health, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-3359-4082
Bosco RowlandSchool of Psychology, Centre for Social and Early Emotional Development (SEED), Faculty of Health, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-0192-809X
Delyse HutchinsonSchool of Psychology, Centre for Social and Early Emotional Development (SEED), Faculty of Health, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-3221-7143
John W ToumbourouSchool of Psychology, Centre for Social and Early Emotional Development (SEED), Faculty of Health, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8431-3762

Funding

ETIOLOGY OF SUBSTANCE USE IN AUSTRALIA /USAR01DA012140 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI CATALANO, RICHARD F · 2000 to 2004
$4.2M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA012140The International Youth Development Study was supported by funding from the National Institute on Drug Abuse [R01-DA012140-05] for Wave 1 data collection in both Australia and the United States. Wave 7 data collection was supported by grants from the Australian Research Council [DP0877359, DP1095744] and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council [594793]. Heidi M. Renner was supported by a Melbourne Children's LifeCourse scholarship, funded by the Royal Children's Hospital Foundation [grant #2018-984].
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionEducational attainment is associated with higher rates of employment, income, and standard of living; yet leaving secondary school before completion of the final year remains common, particularly for youth experiencing disadvantage. This study aimed to identify key indicators of vulnerability, derived from a proposed framework of child disadvantage, that predicted early school leaving in a state-representative sample of Australian youth.

methodsData comprised 2884 participants (51.7% female; 48.3% male) across three age cohorts from the Australian arm of the longitudinal cohort study, the International Youth Development Study (IYDS). The relationship between level of vulnerability in adolescence (11-15 years old in Wave 1; 2002) and subsequent early school leaving (19-23 years old in Wave 7; 2010) was examined, controlling for individual, family, school, and community covariates.

resultsLatent class analyses identified four vulnerability groups ('low,' 'normative,' 'welfare,' and 'high'), differentiated by sociodemographic factors (low), receipt of welfare support (welfare), and family and community risk factors (high). Multivariate regression analyses indicated greater vulnerability in adolescence (11-15 years old) predicted an increased odds of subsequent early school leaving, with the highest vulnerability group 40% more likely to leave school before completing Year 12, relative to the lowest vulnerability group (OR = 1.40; 95% CI [1.27, 1.53], p < 0.001).

conclusionsSociodemographic, geographical, and risk indicators, selected using a multidimensional framework of child disadvantage, predicted increased vulnerability for early school leaving. Prevention and intervention initiatives should select comprehensive multidimensional indicators to prioritise vulnerable youth with the aim of improving educational equity.

Indexed as

Academic SuccessEducational StatusSocial VulnerabilityStudent DropoutsAdolescentAustraliaChildFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleRisk FactorsYoung Adultdisadvantageearly school leavingequitysocial determinantsvulnerability

Identifiers

PMID40825107
PMCPMC12780652

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.