Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40825058›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2025

Impact of climate change on the spread of fascioliasis into the extreme south of South America.

Pablo Fernando Cuervo, Roberto Mera Y Sierra, Patricio Artigas, María Cecilia Fantozzi, María Dolores Bargues, Santiago Mas-Coma

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Pablo Fernando CuervoDepartamento de Parasitología, Facultad de Farmacia, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-6699-7382
Roberto Mera Y SierraCentro de Investigación en Parasitología Regional (CIPAR), Universidad Juan Agustín Maza, Mendoza, Argentina.
Patricio ArtigasDepartamento de Parasitología, Facultad de Farmacia, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, Spain.
María Cecilia FantozziDepartamento de Parasitología, Facultad de Farmacia, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, Spain.
María Dolores BarguesDepartamento de Parasitología, Facultad de Farmacia, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, Spain.
Santiago Mas-ComaDepartamento de Parasitología, Facultad de Farmacia, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, Spain.

Funding

Fondo para la Investigación Científica y Tecnológica (FONCYT)Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programmeMinistry of Science and Education, Madrid, SpainSubprograma Estatal de Generación de Conocimiento de la Acción Estratégica en Salud (AES)
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The impact of global warming on the transmission of fascioliasis, a highly pathogenic zoonotic snail-borne disease, was already highlighted during the 2010's. However, since then, only a few studies have tried to relate the climatic change with the uprise of outbreaks in endemic areas of animal or human fascioliasis. This might be because assessing the consequences of a changing climate on the spread of fascioliasis is extremely challenging, as it presents the widest latitudinal, longitudinal and altitudinal distribution known for a snail-borne disease. In the Americas, where it is only caused by Fasciola hepatica, the disease is widespread throughout the continent, except in its southernmost extremity in the Patagonia region, which was believed to be due to the too low temperatures. Though, recent empirical evidence indicates an ongoing spread of the disease into more southern latitudes. The present study aims to assess the long-term evolution of climate change factors and forecast indices throughout this extreme South American region to conclude whether their impact might have been the cause of the southward expansion of the fascioliasis endemic area. The use of seasonal-trend decomposition analyses and of spatial interpolation techniques demonstrated a remarkable climatic change in the Patagonia region allowing to clarify the southern spread of the disease. This is the first study highlighting a clear link between the consequences of a changing climate and the spread of a fascioliasis endemic area and its transmission risk to extreme latitudes. Moreover, it provides some crucial recommendations and concerns regarding the application and interpretation of two widely applied climatic forecast indices. If current climate trends persist, this geographical expansion is expected to progress further. These findings not only provide critical insight into local disease dynamics but also underscore the broader implications of climate-driven changes in the distribution of snail-borne diseases globally.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeFascioliasisAnimalsFasciola hepaticaHumansSnailsSouth America

Identifiers

PMID40825058
PMCPMC12377589

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.