Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40820869›Full record

ArticlePest management science2025

Climatically suitable areas for Hylobius abietis and Hylobius pales: a global and regional analysis considering economic risks for pine production.

Jéssica Simão, Gabriel Dorotel da Silva Ferreira, Leonardo Rodrigues Barbosa, Fabiane Dos Santos, George Correa Amaro, Cesar Augusto Marchioro

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pest management science, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jéssica SimãoDepartment of Agriculture, Biodiversity and Forests, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Campus Curitibanos, Santa Catarina, Brazil.
Gabriel Dorotel da Silva FerreiraDepartment of Agriculture, Biodiversity and Forests, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Campus Curitibanos, Santa Catarina, Brazil.
Leonardo Rodrigues BarbosaBrazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa Florestas), Colombo, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3805-8577
Fabiane Dos SantosPlant Health Protection, Integrated Agricultural Development Company of Santa Catarina, Santa Catarina, Brazil.
George Correa AmaroBrazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa Roraima), Boa Vista, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3157-3330
Cesar Augusto MarchioroPostgraduate Program in Natural and Agricultural Ecossystems, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Campus Curitibanos, Santa Catarina, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7257-8114

Funding

Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development 408606/2018-5Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico 408606/2018-5Foundation for Research Support of Santa Catarina 2022TR001364Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa e Inovação do Estado de Santa Catarina 2022TR001364
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe weevils Hylobius abietis and Hylobius pales are major pests of pine species within their native ranges. Their potential spread to Pinus-producing regions outside these areas could result in substantial economic and ecological losses, underscoring the need for studies that identify regions at greater risk of invasion.

resultsClimate suitability maps, generated using the MaxEnt machine learning algorithm, identified climatically suitable areas for H. abietis and H. pales in multiple regions beyond their native ranges. These areas include several Pinus-producing countries in the Southern Hemisphere (e.g., Australia, Brazil, Chile, New Zealand, South Africa), as well as locations near ports, airports, or major international trade hubs. In Brazil, 68.1% of Pinus-producing areas fall within the suitable range for H. abietis, while 91.5% of cultivated Pinus areas are suitable range for H. pales. Among the 588 Pinus-producing municipalities, 48 depend on this economic activity to a moderate or high degree. Additionally, the analysis revealed that 42.0% of these municipalities face a moderate to high economic risk in the event of an invasion by H. abietis, while 90.5% are at risk from H. pales.

conclusionOur results highlight the importance of incorporating region-specific data to improve invasion risk map accuracy and guide preventive actions against two major forest pests. Most Pinus-producing municipalities in Brazil face moderate to high economic risk from potential invasions by H. abietis and H. pales, emphasizing the need for proactive prevention strategies. © 2025 The Author(s). Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.

Indexed as

ClimateIntroduced SpeciesPinusWeevilsAnimalsBrazilecological niche modelingforest pestsMaxEntnormalized concentration indexquarantine pests

Identifiers

PMID40820869
PMCPMC12618907

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.