Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40818023›Full record

Observational studyInternational journal of cancer2026

Is the incidence of early-onset cancers increasing in the northeast of Italy? A 30-year analysis of the regional cancer registration data by age, 1987-2019.

Alessandra Buja, Chiara Trevisiol, Andrea Miatton, Stefano Guzzinati, Emanuela Bovo, Simone Mocellin, Alberto Fantin, Massimo Rugge, Vincenzo Bronte, Manuel Zorzi

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in International journal of cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Alessandra BujaDepartment of Cardiological, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Chiara TrevisiolSoft-Tissue, Peritoneum, and Melanoma Surgical Oncology Unit, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padua, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6063-7930
Andrea MiattonDepartment of Cardiological, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Stefano GuzzinatiVeneto Tumour Registry, Azienda Zero, Padua, Italy.
Emanuela BovoVeneto Tumour Registry, Azienda Zero, Padua, Italy.
Simone MocellinSoft-Tissue, Peritoneum, and Melanoma Surgical Oncology Unit, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padua, Italy.
Alberto FantinGastroenterology Unit, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padua, Italy.
Massimo RuggeDepartment of Medicine (DIMED), Pathology and Cytopathology Unit, University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Vincenzo BronteScientific Directorate, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padua, Italy.
Manuel ZorziVeneto Tumour Registry, Azienda Zero, Padua, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6025-5214

Funding

Ministero della Salute
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The analysis of cancer incidence trends in adolescents and young adults reveals a concerning increase. This observational study aims to investigate cancer incidence trends among young adults under 50, compared to older age trends, using the population-based Cancer Registry of the Veneto Region (Northeastern Italy) from 1987 to 2019. Yearly age-standardized cancer incidence rates per 100,000 individuals were obtained from the Veneto Tumour Registry for 24 tumor sites and all cancers combined. Temporal trends from 1987 to 2019 were analyzed for each cancer type, stratified by sex and age group at diagnosis (0-49, 50-64, and 65+ years). Significant changes in incidence trends were assessed by the annual percent change (APC), calculated through joinpoint regression analysis. Since 1987, the incidence rate of cancers among young adults decreased in males, while among females it increased until 2014 and then stabilized. One cancer showed increasing incidence in both sexes (invasive cutaneous melanoma), two in males (testicular, and multiple myeloma), and two more in females (breast, and Hodgkin disease). Four cancer sites showed a decline in both sexes (oral cavity, stomach, lung, and bladder), and four further cancers only in males (esophagus, rectum, larynx, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma). Two cancers showed complex trends (Corpus uteri, and thyroid in women). Eight cancers showed no significant changes in APCs. Cancer incidence data for young adults reveal a heterogeneous landscape. These findings provide valuable insights into the expected evolution of cancer epidemiology in young populations.

Indexed as

NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultAgedAge of OnsetChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornItalyMaleMiddle AgedRegistriescancercohort studiesincidenceregistryyoung

Identifiers

PMID40818023
PMCPMC12670350

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.