Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40817231›Full record

ArticleBMC pulmonary medicine2025

Development of a predictive model for pneumothorax after microwave ablation based on radiomics and clinical baseline data.

Xiangyu Xie, Kun Li, Lei Chen, Hong Li, Chaofan Meng, Liang Zheng

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Article in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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6 authors.

Xiangyu Xie *Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First People's Hospital of Changzhou and The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, China.
Kun Li *Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First People's Hospital of Changzhou and The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, China.
Lei ChenDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The First People's Hospital of Changzhou and The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, China.
Hong LiDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The First People's Hospital of Changzhou and The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, China.
Chaofan MengDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The First People's Hospital of Changzhou and The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, China.
Liang ZhengDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The First People's Hospital of Changzhou and The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, China. suda12366@163.com.

Funding

Changzhou Sci&Tech Program Program Number (Grant No. 20230171)
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimLung cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality globally, with a five-year survival rate lower than many other cancers. Surgery remains the most effective treatment; however, fewer than 50% of patients are eligible due to compromised pulmonary function or the presence of multiple lesions. Microwave ablation is an emerging, minimally invasive treatment that has shown promise in prolonging survival and preserving organ integrity with fewer side effects. Despite its safety profile, pneumothorax remains a common complication. Radiomics has gained traction for early diagnosis, prognosis prediction, and treatment assessment. This study aims to develop a predictive model for pneumothorax following MWA by integrating radiomic data.

methodsData from 111 lung cancer patients undergoing MWA were retrospectively analyzed. A clinical model was developed using binary logistic regression, while a radiomics model was constructed via LASSO regression with fivefold nested cross-validation. A comprehensive model was built by combining both feature sets using logistic regression. Model performance was evaluated using ROC curves, AUC values, DeLong's test, and calibration curves to assess the agreement between predicted and observed outcomes.

resultsThe clinical model achieved an AUC of 0.8846 (95% CI: 0.8160-0.9533), the radiomics model had an AUC of 0.8353 (95% CI: 0.7453-0.9253), and the comprehensive model showed the highest AUC of 0.9262 (95% CI: 0.8712-0.9812). DeLong's test revealed that the comprehensive model outperformed both the clinical model (Z = -2.24, P = 0.025) and the radiomics model (Z = -2.57, P = 0.010).

conclusionCompared with the individual models, the predictive model developed by combining radiomic and clinical baseline data demonstrated superior diagnostic performance in predicting pneumothorax after microwave ablation. By incorporating additional multimodal data and clinical factors in the future, this model has the potential to serve as a more accurate predictive tool in clinical practice.

Indexed as

Ablation TechniquesLung NeoplasmsMicrowavesPneumothoraxAgedFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedRadiomicsRetrospective StudiesROC CurveTomography, X-Ray ComputedNon-small cell lung cancerPredictive modelRadiomics

Identifiers

PMID40817231
PMCPMC12355806

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.