Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40815656›Full record

ArticleScience advances2025

Attribution of flood impacts shows strong benefits of adaptation in Europe since 1950.

Dominik Paprotny, Aloïs Tilloy, Simon Treu, Anna Buch, Michalis I Vousdoukas, Luc Feyen, Heidi Kreibich, Bruno Merz, Katja Frieler, Matthias Mengel

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Dominik PaprotnyResearch Department Transformation Pathways, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam 14473, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5090-8402
Aloïs TilloyEuropean Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra 21027, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-5881-0642
Simon TreuResearch Department Transformation Pathways, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam 14473, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7001-5983
Anna BuchResearch Department Transformation Pathways, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam 14473, Germany.ORCID 0009-0002-4339-2860
Michalis I VousdoukasUniversity of the Aegean, Department of Marine Sciences, Mytilene 81100, Greece.ORCID 0000-0003-2655-6181
Luc FeyenEuropean Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra 21027, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-4225-2962
Heidi KreibichSection Hydrology, GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam 14473, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6274-3625
Bruno MerzSection Hydrology, GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam 14473, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-5992-1440
Katja FrielerResearch Department Transformation Pathways, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam 14473, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4869-3013
Matthias MengelResearch Department Transformation Pathways, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam 14473, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6724-9685

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Flood impacts in Europe are considered to be increasing, but attribution of impacts to climatic and societal drivers of past floods has been limited to a selection of recent events. Here, we present an impact attribution study covering 1729 riverine, flash, coastal, and compound events that were responsible for an estimated 83 to 96% of flood-related impacts in Europe between 1950 and 2020. We show that, in most regions, the magnitude of flood impacts relative to the 1950 baseline has been regulated primarily by direct human actions. The population and economic value at risk have increased, but the effect of exposure growth has been largely compensated by reductions in vulnerability due to improved risk management. Observed long-term changes in climate and human alterations of river catchments were also important drivers of flood hazard in many regions, but ultimately less relevant for trends in total, continental-wide impacts.

Identifiers

PMID40815656
PMCPMC12356248

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.