Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40814962›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2025

Nonparametric Estimation of Transition Intensities in Interval-Censored Markov Multistate Models Without Loops.

Daniel Gomon, Hein Putter

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Daniel GomonMathematical Institute, Leiden University, Leiden, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9011-3743
Hein PutterMathematical Institute, Leiden University, Leiden, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5395-1422

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Interval-censored multistate data is collected when the state of a subject is observed periodically. The analysis of such data using nonparametric multistate models was not possible until recently but is very desirable as it allows for more flexibility than its parametric counterparts. The single available result to date has some unique drawbacks. We propose a nonparametric estimator of the transition intensities for interval-censored multistate data using an Expectation Maximization algorithm. The method allows for a mix of interval-censored and right-censored (exactly observed) transitions. A condition to check for the convergence of the algorithm is given. A simulation study comparing the proposed estimator to a consistent estimator is performed and shown to yield near identical estimates at smaller computational cost. A data set on the emergence of teeth in children is analyzed. Software to perform the analyses is publicly available.

Indexed as

Markov ChainsModels, StatisticalAlgorithmsChildComputer SimulationHumansStatistics, NonparametricTooth EruptionEM algorithminterval censoringMarkovmultistate modelNPMLEpanel data

Identifiers

PMID40814962
PMCPMC12355648

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.