Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40814094›Full record

ArticleBMC pulmonary medicine2025

A multi-biomarker machine learning approach for early prediction of interstitial lung disease in rheumatoid arthritis.

Jiaojiao Xu, Wei Zhang, Weili Bai, Nannan Gai, Jing Li, Yunqi Bao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jiaojiao XuDepartment of Rheumatology, Xi'an Fifth Hospital, 112 Xiguanzheng Street, Lianhu District, Xian, Shaanxi, 710000, People's Republic of China.
Wei ZhangDepartment of Rheumatology, Xi'an Fifth Hospital, 112 Xiguanzheng Street, Lianhu District, Xian, Shaanxi, 710000, People's Republic of China.
Weili BaiDepartment of Rheumatology, Xi'an Fifth Hospital, 112 Xiguanzheng Street, Lianhu District, Xian, Shaanxi, 710000, People's Republic of China.
Nannan GaiDepartment of Rheumatology, Xi'an Fifth Hospital, 112 Xiguanzheng Street, Lianhu District, Xian, Shaanxi, 710000, People's Republic of China.
Jing LiDepartment of Rheumatology, Xi'an Fifth Hospital, 112 Xiguanzheng Street, Lianhu District, Xian, Shaanxi, 710000, People's Republic of China.
Yunqi BaoDepartment of Rheumatology, Xi'an Fifth Hospital, 112 Xiguanzheng Street, Lianhu District, Xian, Shaanxi, 710000, People's Republic of China. byq51798@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9871-679X

Funding

Xi'an Association for Science and Technology 959202313019Xi'an Municipal Bureau of Science and Technology 21YXYJ0050
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInterstitial lung disease (ILD) is a severe complication affecting 10-30% of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. Current diagnostic methods typically detect ILD only after substantial lung damage has occurred. This delay emphasizes the need for early detection strategies. This study aims to develop and validate machine learning models for early RA-ILD prediction and identify key predictive biomarkers.

methodsWe conducted a cross-sectional study enrolling 149 RA patients (84 with ILD, 65 without ILD) between January 2020 and December 2023. We evaluated demographic characteristics, clinical parameters, and laboratory markers, including inflammatory indicators, hematological parameters, and specific biomarkers. We developed and compared four machine learning (ML) models (XGBoost, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, and Logistic Regression) for ILD prediction capabilities.

resultsThe XGBoost model demonstrated superior predictive performance (AUC = 0.891, 95% CI: 0.847-0.935). Feature importance analysis identified Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) as the strongest predictor (importance score = 0.285), followed by interleukin-6 (IL-6) and cytokeratin 19 fragment (CYFRA21-1). The ILD group exhibited significantly elevated levels of inflammatory markers and specific biomarkers, particularly KL-6 (826.4 ± 458.2 vs. 285.6 ± 124.8 U/ml, P < 0.001), alongside distinct patterns in hematological parameters.

conclusionMachine learning approaches, particularly XGBoost, demonstrate promising potential for early RA-ILD prediction. The integration of KL-6 and other identified biomarkers into clinical screening protocols may facilitate early detection and improved patient outcomes. These findings suggest that machine learning models could serve as valuable tools for risk stratification and early intervention in RA-ILD management, providing new approaches for individualized risk assessment in clinical practice.

Indexed as

Arthritis, RheumatoidLung Diseases, InterstitialMachine LearningAgedBiomarkersCross-Sectional StudiesEarly DiagnosisFemaleHumansInterleukin-6Keratin-19Logistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedMucin-1Support Vector MachineBiomarkersInterleukin-6Keratin-19MUC1 protein, humanMucin-1Interstitial lung diseaseKrebs von Den Lungen-6Machine learningRheumatoid arthritis

Identifiers

PMID40814094
PMCPMC12355783

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.