Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40812314›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of human genetics2025

Estimation of demography and mutation rates from one million haploid genomes.

Joshua G Schraiber, Jeffrey P Spence, Michael D Edge

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of human genetics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Evolution of quantitative traits with background selection.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. A sibling study of variation in parental mutation rates.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Integrating 730,947 exome sequences with clinical literature improves gene discovery.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  9. Evolutionary dynamics under phenotypic uncertainty.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Study design and the sampling of deleterious rare variants in biobank-scale datasets.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  18. The distribution of highly deleterious variants across human ancestry groups.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  19. Mutation-selection-drift balance models of complex diseases.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Joshua G SchraiberDepartment of Quantitative and Computational Biology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA. Electronic address: schraibe@usc.edu.
Jeffrey P SpenceDepartment of Genetics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Michael D EdgeDepartment of Quantitative and Computational Biology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA. Electronic address: edgem@usc.edu.

Funding

Traits on trees: Population genomics for understanding complex phenotypesR35GM137758 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI Michael Donald Edge · 2020 to 2026
$2.5M
Population genomic methodology for analysis of ancient DNA: assessing population relationships and the temporal dynamics of natural selectionR35GM124745 · NIGMS · TEMPLE UNIV OF THE COMMONWEALTH · PI SCHRAIBER, JOSHUA G · 2017 to 2018
$739k
NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM124745NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM137758
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As genetic sequencing costs have plummeted, datasets with sizes previously unthinkable have begun to appear. Such datasets present opportunities to learn about evolutionary history, particularly via rare alleles that record the very recent past. However, beyond the computational challenges inherent in the analysis of many large-scale datasets, large population-genetic datasets present theoretical problems. In particular, the majority of population-genetic tools require the assumption that each mutant allele in the sample is the result of a single mutation (the "infinite-sites" assumption), which is violated in large samples. Here, we present DR EVIL, a method for estimating mutation rates and recent demographic history from very large samples. DR EVIL avoids the infinite-sites assumption by using a diffusion approximation to a branching-process model with recurrent mutation. This approach results in tractable likelihoods that are accurate for rare alleles. We show that DR EVIL performs well in simulations and apply it to rare-variant data from one million haploid samples. We identify mutation-rate heterogeneity even after accounting for trinucleotide context and methylation status. We also predict that at modern sample sizes, the alleles at most polymorphic sites with high mutation rates represent the descendants of multiple mutation events.

Indexed as

DemographyGenetics, PopulationGenome, HumanHaploidyMutationMutation RateAllelesComputer SimulationHumansModels, Geneticbranching processcomputational biologydemographic inferencediffusion theorymutationpopulation geneticsrare variantsrecurrent mutation

Identifiers

PMID40812314
PMCPMC12461025

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.