Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40809491›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in systems biology2023

A practical guide for the generation of model-based virtual clinical trials.

Morgan Craig, Jana L Gevertz, Irina Kareva, Kathleen P Wilkie

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in systems biology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Structured Schemas for Provenance-Rich, LLM-Assisted QSP Model Calibration.CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology · 2026
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  20. A Novel Attention-based Network for Geometry Reconstruction with Error Estimation from Medical Images.Proceedings of SPIE--the International Society for Optical Engineering · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Morgan CraigDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Université de Montréal, Montréal, QC, Canada.
Jana L GevertzDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, The College of New Jersey, Ewing, NJ, United States.
Irina KarevaEMD Serono Inc., Merck Group, Billerica, MA, United States.
Kathleen P WilkieDepartment of Mathematics, Toronto Metropolitan University, Toronto, ON, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mathematical modeling has made significant contributions to drug design, development, and optimization. Virtual clinical trials that integrate mathematical models to explore patient heterogeneity and its impact on a variety of therapeutic questions have recently risen in popularity. Here, we outline best practices for creating virtual patients from mathematical models to ultimately implement and execute a virtual clinical trial. In this practical guide, we discuss and provide examples of model design, parameter estimation, parameter sensitivity, model identifiability, and virtual patient cohort creation. Our goal is to help researchers adopt these approaches to further the use of virtual population-based analysis and virtual clinical trials.

Indexed as

mathematical modellingmodel identifiabilityparameter estimationsensitivity analysisvirtual clinical trialsvirtual patients

Identifiers

PMID40809491
PMCPMC12341971

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.