Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40804631›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2025

Hypercubes to identify geomarkers of rapid cystic fibrosis lung disease progression.

Yizi Cheng, Cole Brokamp, Erika Rasnick Manning, Elizabeth L Kramer, Patrick H Ryan, Rhonda D Szczesniak, Emrah Gecili

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Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yizi ChengDivision of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, 3333 Burnet Ave (MLC 5041), Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA.
Cole BrokampDivision of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, 3333 Burnet Ave (MLC 5041), Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA.
Erika Rasnick ManningDivision of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, 3333 Burnet Ave (MLC 5041), Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA.
Elizabeth L KramerDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, USA.
Patrick H RyanDivision of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, 3333 Burnet Ave (MLC 5041), Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA.
Rhonda D SzczesniakDivision of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, 3333 Burnet Ave (MLC 5041), Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA.
Emrah GeciliDivision of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, 3333 Burnet Ave (MLC 5041), Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA. gecili@cchmc.org.

Funding

NIH National Institutes of Health & National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute R01-HL141286
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrior research has shown that place-based environmental exposures and community characteristics, known as geomarkers, are associated with accelerated lung function decline and increased mortality in individuals with cystic fibrosis (CF). Although geomarkers have been linked to pulmonary outcomes in other respiratory diseases, it is unknown which have the greatest predictive power for rapid lung function decline in CF.

methodsWe adapted an existing statistical procedure, which arranges candidate variables in a k-dimensional hypercube, where the hypercube forms a set of variables for a multi-stage selection process involving complex longitudinal data. We embedded the hypercube within a dynamic prediction model of rapid lung function decline, in order to accommodate complexity in lung function trajectories. This practical approach simultaneously selects a handful of genuinely predictive markers among candidates and accounts for complex correlations in longitudinal marker data. Our method is applied to actual geomarker and lung-function outcomes data from the existing Cystic Fibrosis Patient Registry and Cincinnati Cystic Fibrosis Center datasets.

resultsWe applied a 4 × 4 × 4 3-D hypercube to the national and local datasets and selected a subset of geomarkers using p-values from testing coefficients of the association between each geomarker and lung function decline in the dynamic prediction model. Based on the national data analyses, some road density-related geomarkers were selected, including some air pollution-related and greenspace-related variables. Simulations showed the proposed method's variable selection efficacy and robust performance in identifying true predictors, particularly under weak correlation (ρ≤0.6), although performance dipped with stronger correlations (ρ=0.9).

conclusionsThe proposed method is a useful approach for selecting a small set of truly relevant demographic, clinical, and place-based predictors of rapid lung function decline while accounting for the complex correlations inherent in longitudinal lung-function data. We found that selection results differed according to spatial resolution of the geomarkers. Our findings have potential to improve care decisions for people with CF.

Indexed as

Cystic FibrosisDisease ProgressionEnvironmental ExposureHumansRespiratory Function TestsCystic fibrosisDisease progressionEnvironmentGeomarkerHypercubesLongitudinalLung function

Identifiers

PMID40804631
PMCPMC12344988

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