Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40800869›Full record

ArticleImaging neuroscience (Cambridge, Mass.)2025

Reliability of structural brain change in cognitively healthy adult samples.

Didac Vidal-Piñeiro, Øystein Sørensen, Marie Strømstad, Inge K Amlien, Micael Anderson, William F C Baaré, David Bartrés-Faz, Andreas M Brandmaier, Anne Cecilie Bråthen, Pablo Garrido and 15 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Imaging neuroscience (Cambridge, Mass.), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  7. Sex differences in healthy brain aging are unlikely to explain higher Alzheimer's disease prevalence in women.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors.

Didac Vidal-PiñeiroCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9997-9156
Øystein SørensenCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Marie StrømstadCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Inge K AmlienCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Micael AndersonUmeå Centre for Functional Brain Imaging, Umeå, Sweden.
William F C BaaréDanish Research Centre for Magnetic Resonance, Centre for Functional and Diagnostic Imaging and Research, Copenhagen University Hospital-Amager and Hvidovre, Copenhagen, Denmark.
David Bartrés-FazDepartment of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Institute of Neurosciences, University of Barcelona; Institute of Biomedical Research August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain.
Andreas M BrandmaierMax Planck UCL Centre for Computational Psychiatry and Ageing Research, Berlin, Germany.
Anne Cecilie BråthenCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Pablo GarridoCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Paolo GhislettaUniversity of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Håkon GrydelandCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Richard N HensonMRC Cognition and Brain Sciences Unit and Department of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Rogier A KievitMRC Cognition and Brain Sciences Unit and Department of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Max KorbmacherDepartment of Health and Functioning, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen, Norway.
Simone KühnLise Meitner Group for Environmental Neuroscience, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany.
Ulman LindenbergerMax Planck UCL Centre for Computational Psychiatry and Ageing Research, Berlin, Germany.
Athanasia M MowinckelCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Lars NybergCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
James M RoeCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Markus H SneveCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Cristina Sole-PadullesDepartment of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Institute of Neurosciences, University of Barcelona; Institute of Biomedical Research August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain.
Leiv-Otto WatneDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, Akershus University Hospital, Lørenskog, Norway.
Kristine B WalhovdCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Anders M FjellCenter for Lifespan Changes in Brain and Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.

Funding

Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative - SupplementU01AG024904 · NIA · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE RES &EDUC · PI WEINER, MICHAEL W · 2004 to 2015
$121.0M
Smartphone-Based "Burst" Cognitive AssessmentsP01AG003991 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI JOHN MORRIS · 1985 to 2026
$69.5M
WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY ALZHEIMERS DISEASE RESEARCH CENTERP50AG005681 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI MORRIS, JOHN · 1985 to 2019
$52.1M
Vascular factors, physical activity, and inflammation as modulators of neurodegenerative and cognitive trajectories (Project 2)P01AG036694 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Hyun-Sik Yang · 2010 to 2026
$50.2M
The natural history of AB accumulation in preclinical ADP01AG026276 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI MORRIS, JOHN · 2005 to 2025
$49.5M
Washington University Institute of Clinical and Translational SciencesUL1TR000448 · NCATS · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI EVANOFF, BRADLEY A · 2012 to 2016
$41.4M
Research Education ComponentP30AG066444 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI Susan Lynn Stark · 2020 to 2026
$28.7M
MORPHOMETRY BIOMEDICAL INFORMATICS RESEARCH NETWORKU24RR021382 · NCRR · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI ROSEN, BRUCE R · 2004 to 2008
$24.1M
STRUCTURE, FUNCTION AND COGNITION IN SCHIZOPHRENIAP50MH071616 · NIMH · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI BARCH, DEANNA · 2004 to 2008
$11.2M
THE XNAT IMAGING INFORMATICS PLATFORMR01EB009352 · NIBIB · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI Daniel Scott Marcus · 2009 to 2026
$9.3M
DRIVING PERFORMANCE IN PRECLINICAL ALZHEIMER'S DISEASER01AG043434 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI ROE, CATHERINE M · 2012 to 2016
$2.4M
Functional-anatomic exploration of cognitive controlR01AG021910 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI BUCKNER, RANDY L · 2005 to 2009
$1.2M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000448NCRR NIH HHS U24 RR021382NIA NIH HHS P01 AG003991NIA NIH HHS P01 AG026276NIA NIH HHS P01 AG036694NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066444NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005681NIA NIH HHS R01 AG021910NIA NIH HHS R01 AG043434NIA NIH HHS U01 AG024904NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB009352NIMH NIH HHS P50 MH071616
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In neuroimaging research, tracking individuals over time is key to understanding the interplay between brain changes and genetic, environmental, or cognitive factors across the lifespan. Yet, the extent to which we can estimate the individual trajectories of brain change over time with precision remains uncertain. In this study, we estimated the reliability of structural brain change in cognitively healthy adults from multiple samples and assessed the influence of follow-up time and number of observations. Estimates of cross-sectional measurement error and brain change variance were obtained using the longitudinal FreeSurfer processing stream. Our findings showed, on average, modest longitudinal reliability with 2 years of follow-up. Increasing the follow-up time was associated with a substantial increase in longitudinal reliability, while the impact of increasing the number of observations was comparatively minor. On average, 2-year follow-up studies require ≈2.7 and ≈4.0 times more individuals than designs with follow-ups of 4 and 6 years to achieve comparable statistical power. Subcortical volume exhibited higher longitudinal reliability than cortical area, thickness, and volume. The reliability estimates were comparable with those estimated from empirical data. The reliability estimates were affected by both the cohort's age where younger adults had lower reliability of change and the preprocessing pipeline where the FreeSurfer's longitudinal stream was notably superior than the cross-sectional stream. Suboptimal reliability inflated sample size requirements and compromised the ability to distinguish individual trajectories of brain aging. This study underscores the importance of long-term follow-ups and the need to consider reliability in longitudinal neuroimaging research.

Indexed as

aginglongitudinalobservationsreliabilitystructural MRIstudy durationvalidity

Identifiers

PMID40800869
PMCPMC12319936

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.