ArticleScientific reports2025
Response of nitrogen emissions to land use changes and driving forces analysis in Jiangxi province under multiple scenarios.
Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
In recent decades, accelerated economic growth has positioned non-point source pollution as a critical threat to China's ecological security. Jiangxi Province, a pivotal ecological barrier in the middle-lower Yangtze River Basin, confronts escalating challenges in mitigating nitrogen pollution. This study systematically examined spatiotemporal land use dynamics in Jiangxi from 2000 to 2020 through statistical analysis and transition matrices, followed by multi-scenario projections (natural development, ecological conservation, and urban expansion) for 2030 using the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model. The Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model was subsequently employed to simulate historical and scenario-based nitrogen emissions, while an optimal parameter geographical detector quantified driving mechanisms. Results revealed that 2,588 km
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