Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40795980›Full record

ArticleBiology letters2025

Combining fossil taxa with and without morphological data improves dated phylogenetic analyses.

Mark C Nikolic, Rachel C M Warnock, Melanie J Hopkins

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In one paragraph

Article in Biology letters, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Mark C NikolicRichard Gilder Graduate School, American Museum of Natural History, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2446-4056
Rachel C M WarnockDepartment of Geography and Geosciences, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg GeoZentrum Nordbayern, Erlangen, Bavaria, Germany.
Melanie J HopkinsDivision of Paleontology (Invertebrates), American Museum of Natural History, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3580-2172

Funding

National Science Foundation
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The fossilized birth-death (FBD) model has become an increasingly popular method for inferring dated phylogenies. It is especially useful for incorporating fossil data into such analyses, integrating fossils along with their age information directly into the tree as tips or sampled ancestors. Two approaches are common for placing fossil taxa in trees: inference based on morphological character data or using taxonomic constraints to control their topological placement. These approaches have historically been treated as alternatives, and for phylogenetic inference of entirely extinct organisms, additional related fossil taxa other than those for which morphology is available are generally overlooked. Here, for the first time, we implement a combined approach on an empirical dataset for a group of trilobites. We use a morphological matrix and ages for 56 taxa and age information for another 196 taxa from the Paleobiology Database. To evaluate the effects of a combined approach, we conducted FBD-dated phylogenetic analyses using the combined dataset with morphology and taxonomic constraints and compared them to analyses of taxa with morphology alone. We find that a combined approach yields topologies that are more stratigraphically congruent, substantially more precise parameter estimates (e.g. divergence times) and more informative tree distributions. These findings are a consequence of the substantial increase in stratigraphic age information and a more representative sample of the temporal distributions of the group.

Indexed as

ArthropodsFossilsPhylogenyAnimalsdivergence timesfossilized birth–deathfossilsmorphological dataphylogenetic inferencestratigraphic congruence

Identifiers

PMID40795980
PMCPMC12343125

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.