ArticleDemographic research
Amish fertility in the United States: Comparative evidence from the American Community Survey and Amish population registries.
Article in Demographic research. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- The population structure of the Amish, a rapidly growing ethnic religion in North America.Population studies · 2026Article
- Amish fertility in the United States: Comparative evidence from the American Community Survey and Amish population registries.Demographic researchArticle
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundQuantitative studies of Amish population dynamics have been methodologically constrained by difficulties identifying Amish in national surveys. If Amish could be reliably identified in, for example, the American Community Survey (ACS), researchers could leverage its rich variables to document both demographic outcomes and their social predictors.
objectiveCross-validate two methods for studying Amish populations by comparing fertility measures in the ACS with the Cross-sectional Amish Population and Environment Database-2010s (CAPED-2010s), a large administrative record database of North American Amish.
methodsWe identify potential Amish ACS respondents through combinations of the attributes (1) Pennsylvania Dutch language use, (2) absence of household telephone, and (3) farming. We then calculate fertility measures derived from both the CAPED data and ACS data samples (2000-2021). This comparative method allows us to assess whether the two samples produce demographic comparable estimates.
resultsBoth methods produce remarkably consistent fertility statistics, including total fertility rates (just over six children), age-specific fertility rates (highest ages 20-29), and non-marital fertility (very low).
conclusionsThe strong agreement between ACS- and CAPED-2010s-derived demographic estimates validates both approaches for studying Amish populations. CONTRIBUTION: The ACS's rich social variables complement CAPED-2010s' comprehensive demographic coverage, demonstrating the credibility of two separate large databases for studies of the Amish.
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